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Pro League
Gent
S S S U U
1–1
Full-time
Waregem
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Waregem
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,3
Scored
2,0
1,8
Conceded
0,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,3
This season — Pro League · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 55%
65%
45%
Points per game
2,2
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 73%
55%
90%
Both score Ø 68%
55%
80%
Average goals
2,8
3,9
Scored
2,0
2,1
Conceded
0,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Gent 2. · Waregem 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 20 16 1 3 +37 49
2 Gent 20 13 5 2 +24 44
3 Anderlecht 20 11 6 3 +14 39
4 Oostende 20 11 5 4 +14 38
5 Genk 18 10 3 5 +10 33
6 Standard 24 10 2 12 -13 32
7 Waregem 20 9 4 7 +7 31
8 Mechelen 24 8 6 10 -4 30
9 Westerlo 30 7 9 14 -24 30
10 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 30 7 8 15 -11 29
11 Charleroi 20 7 5 8 -1 26
12 St Truiden 24 8 2 14 -13 26
13 Kortrijk 22 6 7 9 -7 25
14 Royal Excel Mouscron 24 6 7 11 -9 25
15 Beveren 24 7 4 13 -16 25
16 Lokeren 24 6 6 12 -8 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gent Waregem
35′
M. Leye 0–1
M. Baudry
Half-time 1–1
1–1 S. Kums
57′
K. Coulibaly 🔁
↦ L. Depoitre
60′
Renato Neto 🔁
↦ L. Deaux
65′
76′
🔁 S. Buyl
↦ H. Dalsgaard
83′
🔁 S. Brebels
↦ A. Cordaro
M. Simon 🔁
↦ D. Miličević
88′
90′
🔁 F. Mendy
↦ M. Baudry
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Gent

1 M. Sels
21 N. Asare
55 R. Gershon
23 L. Nielsen
6 M. Boussoufa
77 D. Miličević
18 L. Deaux
14 S. Kums
15 K. Saief
32 T. Foket
9 L. Depoitre
Bench (7)
7 K. Coulibaly
10 Renato Neto
27 M. Simon
4 Rafinha
13 S. Mitrović
17 H. Van der Bruggen
20 Y. Thoelen

Waregem

22 K. Steppe
14 H. Dalsgaard
5 B. Verboom
3 M. Baudry
4 A. Diallo
34 O. Kaya
29 A. Cordaro
10 S. De Ridder
23 C. Lepoint
35 K. Essikal
9 M. Leye
Bench (7)
11 S. Buyl
33 S. Brebels
20 F. Mendy
1 S. Bossut
8 M. Poletanović
15 J. Benteke
42 N. Storm

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.