← Match Finder
Championship
Referee: Keith Stroud
Bolton
T T T T T
1–2
Full-time
Middlesbrough
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Bolton Middlesbrough
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
0%
83%
Points per game
0,2
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,8
2,5
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
3,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
-2,2
+0,8
This season — Championship · 41/41 matches
Win Ø 36%
10%
61%
Points per game
0,6
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
56%
37%
Both score Ø 43%
56%
29%
Average goals
2,8
2,0
Scored
0,9
1,4
Conceded
1,9
0,6
Goal diff per game
-0,9
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

36% Possession 64%
6 Shots 22
2 Shots on target 5
0 Blocked shots 7
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 11
1 Offside 4
0 Free kicks against 0
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bolton 24. · Middlesbrough 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Middlesbrough 41 25 7 9 +31 82
2 Burnley 41 22 14 5 +31 80
3 Brighton 40 22 13 5 +24 79
4 Hull 38 21 9 8 +34 72
5 Sheffield Weds 38 18 11 9 +19 65
6 Derby 39 17 13 9 +16 64
7 Cardiff 41 16 15 10 +8 63
8 Ipswich 41 16 12 13 +0 60
9 Birmingham 41 16 11 14 +5 59
10 Preston 41 14 14 13 +0 56
11 QPR 41 13 16 12 +4 55
12 Wolves 42 13 14 15 -5 53
13 Brentford 40 15 7 18 -4 52
14 Reading 41 13 12 16 -2 51
15 Leeds 41 12 15 14 -9 51
16 Blackburn 41 11 14 16 -1 47
17 Fulham 42 11 14 17 -9 47
18 Bristol City 41 12 11 18 -19 47
19 Huddersfield 41 12 10 19 -5 46
20 Nott'm Forest 41 11 13 17 -7 46
21 Rotherham 41 13 7 21 -13 46
22 Milton Keynes Dons 41 9 10 22 -25 37
23 Charlton 41 8 12 21 -35 36
24 Bolton 41 4 14 23 -38 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bolton Middlesbrough
33′
🟨 Emilio Nsue
36′
🟨 Daniel Ayala
Half-time 0–0
57′
🔁 G. Ramírez
↦ Nsue
1–0 J. Vela
E. Heskey
61′
Mark Davies 🟨
64′
L. Trotter 🔁
↦ E. Heskey
70′
73′
J. Rhodes 1–1
Ben Amos 🟨
80′
Josh Vela 🟨
84′
87′
🔁 D. Nugent
↦ S. Downing
K. Woolery 🔁
↦ J. Vela
88′
91′
J. Rhodes 1–2
D. Nugent
94′
🔁 T. Kalas
↦ J. Rhodes
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Bolton

1 B. Amos G
31 D. Wheater D
3 D. Moxey D
15 Derik Osede M
48 N. Maher D
45 R. Holding D
16 M. Davies M
21 D. Pratley M
6 J. Vela M
19 E. Heskey F
10 Z. Clough F
Bench (7)
17 L. Trotter
30 K. Woolery
13 P. Rachubka
18 N. Danns
23 S. Dobbie
27 F. Twardzik
41 O. Threlkeld

Middlesbrough

1 D. Konstantopoulos G
5 R. De Laet D
3 G. Friend D
4 Daniel Ayala D
6 B. Gibson D
19 S. Downing F
24 Nsue D
27 A. Adomah M
8 A. Clayton M
34 A. Forshaw M
9 J. Rhodes F
Bench (7)
21 G. Ramírez
35 D. Nugent
26 T. Kalas
7 G. Leadbitter
10 C. De Pena
13 Tomás
16 J. De Sart

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Keith Stroud · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
19,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.