Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Waregem
Anderlecht
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Club Brugge
|
22 | 18 | 1 | 3 | +40 | 55 |
| 2 |
Gent
|
22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | +22 | 45 |
| 3 |
Anderlecht
|
21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | +15 | 42 |
| 4 |
Oostende
|
22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | +9 | 38 |
| 5 |
Genk
|
20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | +13 | 36 |
| 6 |
Mechelen
|
26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | -2 | 36 |
| 7 |
Standard
|
25 | 11 | 2 | 12 | -12 | 35 |
| 8 |
Waregem
|
21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | +7 | 32 |
| 9 |
Westerlo
|
30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | -24 | 30 |
| 10 |
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
|
30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | -11 | 29 |
| 11 |
Charleroi
|
22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | -2 | 27 |
| 12 |
Lokeren
|
26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | -8 | 27 |
| 13 |
Royal Excel Mouscron
|
26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | -9 | 27 |
| 14 |
St Truiden
|
26 | 8 | 3 | 15 | -14 | 27 |
| 15 |
Kortrijk
|
23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | -7 | 26 |
| 16 |
Beveren
|
26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | -17 | 26 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Gent
Waregem
Waregem
Royal Excel Mouscron
Kortrijk
Waregem
St Truiden
Waregem
Waregem
Mechelen
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.