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Primeira Liga
Referee: Luis Miguel Branco Godinho
Benfica
S T S U S
1–0
Full-time
Feirense
T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Benfica Feirense
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,5
This season — Primeira Liga · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
56%
44%
Both score Ø 62%
67%
56%
Average goals
2,9
2,4
Scored
2,1
1,1
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

64% Possession 36%
12 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 6
4 Offside 1
20 Free kicks against 16
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Benfica 3. · Feirense 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Porto 9 8 1 0 +21 25
2 Sp Lisbon 9 7 2 0 +16 23
3 Benfica 9 6 2 1 +12 20
4 Sp Braga 9 6 0 3 +7 18
5 Maritimo 9 5 1 3 +1 16
6 Rio Ave 9 4 2 3 +2 14
7 Boavista 9 4 1 4 +2 13
8 Belenenses 9 4 1 4 -3 13
9 Feirense 9 3 2 4 -2 11
10 Guimaraes 9 3 2 4 -7 11
11 Vitoria Setubal 9 2 4 3 +1 10
12 Tondela 9 2 3 4 +0 9
13 Pacos Ferreira 9 2 3 4 -7 9
14 Portimonense 9 2 2 5 -6 8
15 Chaves 9 2 2 5 -6 8
16 Aves 9 1 3 5 -7 6
17 Moreirense 9 1 3 5 -9 6
18 Estoril 9 2 0 7 -15 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Benfica Feirense
1–0 Jonas
11′
31′
🔁 A. Kakuba
↦ Tiago Gomes
Half-time 1–0
Pizzi 🔁
↦ E. Salvio
61′
67′
🟨 Jean Sony Alcenat
R. Jiménez 🔁
↦ H. Seferović
71′
71′
🔁 Hugo Seco
↦ Luís Machado
79′
🟨 Elvis Babanco
F. Krovinović 🔁
↦ Jonas
84′
84′
🔁 José Valencia
↦ Tiago Silva
90′
🟨 Alex Kakuba
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Benfica

4-4-2
1 M. Svilar G
4 Luisão D
34 André Almeida D
3 Álex Grimaldo D
66 Rúben Dias D
5 L. Fejsa M
18 E. Salvio F
6 Filipe Augusto M
84 Diogo Gonçalves F
10 Jonas F
14 H. Seferović F
Bench (7)
21 Pizzi
9 R. Jiménez
20 F. Krovinović
7 A. Samaris
11 Gabriel
12 Júlio César
22 F. Cervi

Coach: Rui Vitória

Feirense

4-4-2
22 Caio Secco G
23 Tiago Gomes D
4 A. Briseño D
32 Flavio D
28 J. Alcenat D
5 Babanco M
8 Tiago Silva M
10 O. Etebo M
19 João Silva F
12 Paraiba M
7 Luís Machado M
Bench (7)
3 A. Kakuba
77 Hugo Seco
20 José Valencia
14 Bruno Nascimento
15 K. Alphonse
17 Cris
37 M. Miskiewicz

Coach: Nuno Santos

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Luis Miguel Branco Godinho · 45 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
35,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.