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Primeira Liga

Referee: Joao Pedro Pinheiro

Belenenses

T S U T T

1–0

Full-time

Maritimo

T U U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Belenenses Maritimo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,5

1,8

Scored

0,8

1,2

Conceded

1,7

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,5

This season — Primeira Liga · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

0,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

1,0

Scored

0,0

1,0

Conceded

1,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%

11 Shots 8

4 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 2

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

9 Corners 4

1 Offside 0

19 Free kicks against 17

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Belenenses 15. · Maritimo 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Porto	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Guimaraes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Portimonense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Maritimo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Rio Ave	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Moreirense	2	0	2	0	+0	2
9	Feirense	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Tondela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Vitoria Setubal	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Chaves	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Boavista	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Belenenses	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Sp Braga	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Aves	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Estoril	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Guimaraes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Portimonense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Maritimo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Rio Ave	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Vitoria Setubal	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Feirense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Moreirense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Aves	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Moreirense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
3	Tondela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
4	Feirense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Chaves	1	0	0	1	-1	0
6	Boavista	1	0	0	1	-1	0
7	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Vitoria Setubal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Belenenses	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Sp Braga	1	0	0	1	-2	0
11	Estoril	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.