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Eredivisie
Referee: Danny Desmond Makkelie
Feyenoord
S S T U T
6–2
Full-time
Ajax
S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Feyenoord Ajax
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,7
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
83%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,8
5,7
Scored
2,2
4,5
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+3,3
This season — Eredivisie · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 72%
61%
83%
Points per game
2,0
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
61%
78%
Both score Ø 45%
56%
33%
Average goals
3,3
4,2
Scored
2,0
3,6
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+2,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–2

49% Possession 51%
20 Shots 16
9 Shots on target 7
5 Blocked shots 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 5
3 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 14
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Feyenoord 3. · Ajax 2. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 19 17 1 1 +53 52
2 Ajax 18 15 2 1 +52 47
3 Feyenoord 18 11 3 4 +13 36
4 AZ Alkmaar 18 8 4 6 +7 28
5 VVV Venlo 19 7 5 7 -2 26
6 Heracles 18 8 2 8 -5 26
7 Utrecht 16 7 4 5 +3 25
8 Vitesse 17 6 5 6 +1 23
9 For Sittard 19 6 5 8 -4 23
10 Willem II 18 6 4 8 -6 22
11 Heerenveen 18 5 6 7 -3 21
12 Zwolle 19 6 3 10 -9 21
13 Den Haag 19 5 6 8 -13 21
14 FC Emmen 19 5 6 8 -16 21
15 Excelsior 19 5 4 10 -21 19
16 Groningen 18 5 3 10 -4 18
17 NAC Breda 19 4 4 11 -19 16
18 De Graafschap 19 4 3 12 -27 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

28. Oct -18 Ajax – Feyenoord 3–0 21. Jan -18 Ajax – Feyenoord 2–0 22. Oct -17 Feyenoord – Ajax 1–4 2. Apr -17 Ajax – Feyenoord 2–1 23. Oct -16 Feyenoord – Ajax 1–1

Match report

Feyenoord Ajax
8′
⚽ L. Schöne 0–1
1–1 J. Toornstra ⚽
S. Berghuis
16′
2–1 S. Berghuis ⚽
J. Toornstra
31′
33′
⚽ H. Ziyech 2–2
3–2 R. van Persie ⚽
J. Toornstra
42′
Half-time 4–2
4–2 R. van Persie ⚽
S. Berghuis
56′
60′
🔁 David Neres
↦ D. van de Beek
60′
🔁 D. Sinkgraven
↦ L. Magallán
N. Jørgensen 🔁
↦ R. van Persie
68′
72′
🔁 K. Huntelaar
↦ K. Dolberg
R. Haps 🔁
↦ C. Verdonk
73′
5–2 T. Vilhena ⚽
J. Toornstra
75′
Y. Ayoub 🔁
↦ S. Berghuis
83′
6–2 Y. Ayoub ⚽
N. Jørgensen
84′
Full-time 6–2

Line-ups

Feyenoord

4-3-3
1 K. Vermeer G
33 Eric Botteghin D
3 S. van Beek D
29 C. Verdonk D
4 J. St. Juste D
28 J. Toornstra M
8 J. Clasie M
10 T. Vilhena M
32 R. van Persie F
19 S. Berghuis F
11 S. Larsson F
Bench (11)
9 N. Jørgensen
5 R. Haps
18 Y. Ayoub
2 B. Nieuwkoop
6 J. van der Heijden
13 J. Delle
17 L. Sinisterra
23 O. Kökçü
26 J. Wehrmann
30 R. ten Hove
34 D. Vente

Coach: G. van Bronckhorst

Ajax

4-3-3
24 A. Onana G
17 D. Blind D
16 L. Magallán D
4 M. de Ligt D
20 L. Schöne M
22 H. Ziyech M
6 D. van de Beek M
12 N. Mazraoui D
21 F. de Jong M
10 D. Tadić M
25 K. Dolberg F
Bench (9)
7 David Neres
8 D. Sinkgraven
9 K. Huntelaar
2 R. Kristensen
19 Z. Labyad
26 K. Lamprou
27 P. Schuurs
30 D. de Wit
32 V. Černý

Coach: E. ten Hag

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Danny Desmond Makkelie · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.