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Premier League
Referee: Craig Pawson
1–1
Full-time
West Ham
U S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Crystal Palace West Ham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
1,5
0,7
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,0
This season — Premier League · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 32%
28%
36%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
36%
52%
Both score Ø 44%
40%
48%
Average goals
2,4
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

57% Possession 43%
25 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 4
10 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
10 Corners 4
4 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Crystal Palace 14. · West Ham 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Man City 26 20 2 4 +48 62
2 Liverpool 25 19 5 1 +41 62
3 Tottenham 25 19 0 6 +27 57
4 Man United 26 15 6 5 +17 51
5 Chelsea 25 15 5 5 +22 50
6 Arsenal 25 14 5 6 +15 47
7 Wolves 25 11 5 9 +1 38
8 Watford 25 9 7 9 -1 34
9 Everton 26 9 6 11 -2 33
10 Bournemouth 25 10 3 12 -7 33
11 Leicester 25 9 5 11 -1 32
12 West Ham 25 9 5 11 -7 32
13 Brighton 25 7 6 12 -9 27
14 Crystal Palace 25 7 5 13 -7 26
15 Newcastle 25 6 6 13 -12 24
16 Southampton 25 5 9 11 -15 24
17 Burnley 25 6 6 13 -20 24
18 Cardiff 25 6 4 15 -24 22
19 Fulham 26 4 5 17 -33 17
20 Huddersfield 25 2 5 18 -33 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Crystal Palace West Ham
27′
M. Noble 0–1
Aaron Wan-Bissaka 🟨
35′
Luka Milivojević 🟨
43′
James McArthur 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–1
M. Batshuayi 🔁
↦ C. Benteke
60′
68′
🔁 M. Arnautović
↦ J. Hernández
73′
🔁 Pedro Obiang
↦ M. Antonio
1–1 W. Zaha
J. McArthur
76′
M. Meyer 🔁
↦ J. McArthur
79′
84′
🔁 P. Zabaleta
↦ R. Fredericks
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Crystal Palace

4-3-3
31 Guaita G
12 M. Sakho D
34 M. Kelly D
3 P. van Aanholt D
15 J. Schlupp M
29 A. Wan-Bissaka D
18 J. McArthur M
10 A. Townsend F
4 L. Milivojević M
17 C. Benteke F
11 W. Zaha F
Bench (7)
23 M. Batshuayi
7 M. Meyer
2 J. Ward
6 S. Dann
13 W. Hennessey
14 J. Ayew
26 B. Sako

Coach: R. Hodgson

West Ham

4-1-4-1
1 Ł. Fabiański G
21 A. Ogbonna D
3 A. Cresswell D
24 R. Fredericks D
23 I. Diop D
16 M. Noble M
11 R. Snodgrass M
30 M. Antonio M
8 Felipe Anderson M
41 D. Rice M
17 J. Hernández F
Bench (7)
7 M. Arnautović
14 Pedro Obiang
5 P. Zabaleta
9 A. Carroll
13 Adrián
26 A. Masuaku
45 G. Diangana

Coach: M. Pellegrini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Craig Pawson · 139 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.