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Eredivisie

Referee: Bernie Raymond Blom

Groningen

T S U T U

3–0

Full-time

Heracles

T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Groningen Heracles

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,2

3,3

Scored

1,3

Conceded

0,8

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,7

This season — Eredivisie · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 38%

25%

50%

Points per game

0,9

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

44%

81%

Both score Ø 50%

44%

56%

Average goals

2,5

4,0

Scored

1,1

2,0

Conceded

1,4

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

53% Possession 47%

18 Shots 7

6 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 1

0 Offside 2

17 Free kicks against 19

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Groningen 16. · Heracles 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	17	16	0	1	+52	48
2	Ajax	17	15	1	1	+52	46
3	Feyenoord	18	11	3	4	+13	36
4	AZ Alkmaar	18	8	4	6	+7	28
5	Heracles	16	8	2	6	+0	26
6	VVV Venlo	18	7	5	6	-1	26
7	Utrecht	16	7	4	5	+3	25
8	Vitesse	16	6	5	5	+2	23
9	For Sittard	17	5	5	7	-1	20
10	Heerenveen	17	5	5	7	-3	20
11	Den Haag	18	5	5	8	-13	20
12	Willem II	17	5	4	8	-8	19
13	Zwolle	18	5	3	10	-11	18
14	FC Emmen	17	4	5	8	-17	17
15	Excelsior	18	4	4	10	-23	16
16	Groningen	16	4	3	9	-6	15
17	NAC Breda	17	4	3	10	-17	15
18	De Graafschap	17	3	3	11	-29	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	9	9	0	0	+34	27
2	Feyenoord	9	8	0	1	+13	24
3	Ajax	8	7	1	0	+30	22
4	Heracles	8	6	0	2	+8	18
5	Utrecht	8	5	1	2	+9	16
6	AZ Alkmaar	9	4	3	2	+7	15
7	VVV Venlo	8	4	3	1	+7	15
8	Vitesse	7	4	2	1	+3	14
9	NAC Breda	9	4	1	4	-1	13
10	For Sittard	9	3	3	3	+2	12
11	De Graafschap	9	3	1	5	-6	10
12	Den Haag	9	2	3	4	-8	9
13	Excelsior	9	2	3	4	-10	9
14	Zwolle	10	2	2	6	-5	8
15	Groningen	8	2	1	5	-1	7
16	Heerenveen	8	1	3	4	-7	6
17	FC Emmen	9	1	3	5	-8	6
18	Willem II	8	1	2	5	-6	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	9	8	0	1	+22	24
2	PSV Eindhoven	8	7	0	1	+18	21
3	Heerenveen	9	4	2	3	+4	14
4	Willem II	9	4	2	3	-2	14
5	AZ Alkmaar	9	4	1	4	+0	13
6	Feyenoord	9	3	3	3	+0	12
7	Den Haag	9	3	2	4	-5	11
8	VVV Venlo	10	3	2	5	-8	11
9	FC Emmen	8	3	2	3	-9	11
10	Zwolle	8	3	1	4	-6	10
11	Vitesse	9	2	3	4	-1	9
12	Utrecht	8	2	3	3	-6	9
13	For Sittard	8	2	2	4	-3	8
14	Groningen	8	2	2	4	-5	8
15	Heracles	8	2	2	4	-8	8
16	Excelsior	9	2	1	6	-13	7
17	NAC Breda	8	0	2	6	-16	2
18	De Graafschap	8	0	2	6	-23	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.