Ligue 1
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Strasbourg
Angers
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris SG
|
22 | 19 | 2 | 1 | +55 | 59 |
| 2 |
Lille
|
23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | +18 | 46 |
| 3 |
Lyon
|
23 | 12 | 7 | 4 | +12 | 43 |
| 4 |
St Etienne
|
22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | +7 | 37 |
| 5 |
Marseille
|
24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | +4 | 37 |
| 6 |
Montpellier
|
22 | 9 | 9 | 4 | +12 | 36 |
| 7 |
Strasbourg
|
22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | +13 | 35 |
| 8 |
Reims
|
23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | -1 | 34 |
| 9 |
Nice
|
23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | -5 | 34 |
| 10 |
Rennes
|
23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | +0 | 33 |
| 11 |
Nimes
|
23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | -2 | 30 |
| 12 |
Bordeaux
|
23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 28 |
| 13 |
Angers
|
23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | -3 | 27 |
| 14 |
Toulouse
|
23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | -11 | 26 |
| 15 |
Nantes
|
22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | -2 | 24 |
| 16 |
Dijon
|
23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | -16 | 20 |
| 17 |
Caen
|
22 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -11 | 18 |
| 18 |
Monaco
|
23 | 4 | 6 | 13 | -18 | 18 |
| 19 |
Amiens
|
23 | 5 | 3 | 15 | -20 | 18 |
| 20 |
Guingamp
|
22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | -30 | 14 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
M. Sels
G
K. Lala
D
A. Caci
D
A. Thomasson
M
I. Sissoko
M
L. Ajorque
F
Coach: T. Laurey
B. Santamaría
M
Coach: S. Moulin
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Strasbourg
Bordeaux
Monaco
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
Nice
Reims
Strasbourg
A Delerue · 60 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.