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La Liga
Referee: Pablo Gonzales Fuertes
Getafe
T S S T U
3–1
Full-time
Celta
T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Getafe Celta
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,0
This season — La Liga · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 32%
36%
27%
Points per game
1,5
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
23%
59%
Both score Ø 55%
41%
68%
Average goals
2,0
3,2
Scored
1,1
1,5
Conceded
0,8
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

48% Possession 52%
12 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 3
3 Offside 4
16 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Getafe 5. · Celta 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 22 15 5 2 +37 50
2 Ath Madrid 22 12 8 2 +18 44
3 Real Madrid 22 13 3 6 +11 42
4 Sevilla 22 10 6 6 +13 36
5 Getafe 22 8 8 6 +7 32
6 Betis 22 9 5 8 +0 32
7 Alaves 22 9 5 8 -5 32
8 Valencia 22 6 12 4 +4 30
9 Sociedad 22 8 6 8 +2 30
10 Eibar 22 7 8 7 -1 29
11 Levante 22 7 6 9 -8 27
12 Ath Bilbao 22 5 11 6 -5 26
13 Leganes 22 6 8 8 -5 26
14 Valladolid 23 6 8 9 -9 26
15 Espanol 22 7 4 11 -11 25
16 Celta 22 6 6 10 -2 24
17 Girona 22 5 9 8 -8 24
18 Vallecano 22 6 5 11 -12 23
19 Villarreal 23 3 11 9 -8 20
20 Huesca 22 3 6 13 -18 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Getafe Celta
2′
N. Araújo 0–1
Brais Méndez
37′
🟨 Maximiliano Gómez
37′
🟨 Maximiliano Gómez
37′
🟥 Maximiliano Gómez
1–1 Jaime Mata
39′
Half-time 1–1
54′
🔁 Kevin Vázquez
↦ Hugo Mallo
M. Flamini 🔁
↦ M. Arambarri
61′
2–1 Jorge Molina
Jaime Mata
62′
Jaime Mata 🟨
64′
66′
🔁 Iago Aspas
↦ S. Boufal
Mathieu Flamini 🟨
69′
Portillo 🔁
↦ Samuel Sáiz
71′
3–1 Jaime Mata
81′
82′
🔁 P. Sisto
↦ Juncà
Ángel 🔁
↦ Jaime Mata
83′
87′
🟨 David Costas
Mathias Olivera 🟨
89′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Getafe

4-4-2
13 David Soria G
22 D. Suárez D
6 L. Cabrera D
24 D. Foulquier D
2 D. Dakonam D
17 M. Olivera D
11 Samuel Sáiz M
20 N. Maksimović M
18 M. Arambarri M
19 Jorge Molina F
7 Jaime Mata F
Bench (7)
16 M. Flamini
8 Portillo
9 Ángel
1 L. Chichizola
3 Antunes
10 G. Shibasaki
21 Miquel

Coach: José Bordalás

Celta

3-4-2-1
13 Rubén Blanco G
2 Hugo Mallo D
4 N. Araújo D
17 Juncà D
12 W. Hoedt D
3 David Costas D
21 Jozabed M
19 S. Boufal M
23 Brais Méndez M
8 Fran Beltrán M
9 M. Gómez F
Bench (7)
20 Kevin Vázquez
10 Iago Aspas
11 P. Sisto
1 Sergio Álvarez
14 S. Lobotka
18 M. Jensen
22 G. Cabral

Coach: Miguel Cardoso

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Pablo Gonzales Fuertes · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.