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Bundesliga
Referee: Tobias Welz
Hannover
U T T T T
2–0
Full-time
Nurnberg
T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hannover Nurnberg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,2
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
0,3
0,5
Conceded
2,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
-2,2
-1,3
This season — Bundesliga · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 10%
10%
10%
Points per game
0,6
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
60%
45%
Both score Ø 58%
65%
50%
Average goals
3,1
3,1
Scored
0,9
0,9
Conceded
2,2
2,2
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-1,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

51% Possession 49%
19 Shots 10
8 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
4 Corners 4
2 Offside 0
17 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Hannover 18. · Nurnberg 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Dortmund 20 15 4 1 +31 49
2 M'gladbach 20 13 3 4 +23 42
3 Bayern Munich 20 13 3 4 +21 42
4 RB Leipzig 20 11 4 5 +20 37
5 Leverkusen 21 10 3 8 +5 33
6 Ein Frankfurt 20 9 5 6 +13 32
7 Wolfsburg 20 9 4 7 +2 31
8 Hoffenheim 20 7 8 5 +9 29
9 Hertha 20 7 7 6 +0 28
10 Werder Bremen 20 7 6 7 +0 27
11 Mainz 21 7 6 8 -10 27
12 Schalke 04 20 6 4 10 -5 22
13 Freiburg 20 5 7 8 -8 22
14 Fortuna Dusseldorf 20 6 4 10 -17 22
15 Augsburg 20 4 6 10 -4 18
16 Stuttgart 20 4 3 13 -27 15
17 Nurnberg 20 2 6 12 -27 12
18 Hannover 20 2 5 13 -26 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

22. Sep -18 Nurnberg – Hannover 2–0

Match report

Hannover Nurnberg
11′
🟥 Simon Rhein
Walace 🟨
28′
Marvin Bakalorz 🟨
33′
K. Wimmer 🔁
↦ K. Akpoguma
44′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 N. Müller
H. Weydandt
50′
60′
🔁 A. Fuchs
↦ F. Palacios
B. Wood 🔁
↦ H. Weydandt
63′
68′
🟨 Adam Zreľák
72′
🟨 Matheus Pereira
76′
🔁 Y. Kubo
↦ T. Knöll
2–0 N. Müller
Jonathas
77′
I. Fossum 🔁
↦ N. Müller
78′
88′
🔁 M. Ishak
↦ E. Valentini
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Hannover

4-4-2
23 M. Esser G
22 M. Ostrzolek M
4 J. Korb M
14 K. Akpoguma D
31 W. Anton D
6 M. Bakalorz M
21 N. Müller M
10 G. Haraguchi M
8 Walace M
26 H. Weydandt F
9 Jonathas F
Bench (7)
28 K. Wimmer
17 B. Wood
18 I. Fossum
3 M. Albornoz
19 S. Sahin-Radlinger
25 O. Sorg
35 F. Muslija

Coach: T. Doll

Nurnberg

4-4-2
26 C. Mathenia G
22 E. Valentini D
4 Ewerton D
23 T. Leibold D
28 L. Mühl D
18 H. Behrens M
38 S. Rhein M
21 F. Palacios F
11 A. Zreľák F
27 Matheus Pereira F
19 T. Knöll F
Bench (7)
35 A. Fuchs
14 Y. Kubo
9 M. Ishak
1 F. Bredlow
8 R. Bauer
10 S. Kerk
29 P. Erras

Coach: M. Köllner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Tobias Welz · 53 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
18,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.