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Eredivisie

Referee: Allard Lindhout

Utrecht

U S S S S

5–0

Full-time

De Graafschap

T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Utrecht De Graafschap

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,2

3,8

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

0,7

2,5

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-1,2

This season — Eredivisie · 11/12 matches

Win Ø 35%

45%

25%

Points per game

1,6

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

45%

67%

Both score Ø 53%

55%

50%

Average goals

2,4

3,2

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

1,1

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-1,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

57% Possession 43%

22 Shots 5

6 Shots on target 2

5 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 1

1 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 16

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Utrecht 7. · De Graafschap 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	13	13	0	0	+41	39
2	Ajax	13	11	1	1	+35	34
3	Feyenoord	11	7	2	2	+9	23
4	Heracles	13	6	2	5	-2	20
5	AZ Alkmaar	12	5	3	4	+4	18
6	VVV Venlo	11	5	3	3	+2	18
7	Utrecht	11	5	3	3	+2	18
8	For Sittard	13	4	4	5	+2	16
9	Den Haag	13	4	3	6	-10	15
10	Excelsior	13	4	3	6	-12	15
11	Heerenveen	13	3	5	5	-6	14
12	Willem II	12	3	4	5	-3	13
13	FC Emmen	13	3	4	6	-13	13
14	Vitesse	10	3	3	4	-1	12
15	Zwolle	13	3	2	8	-10	11
16	Groningen	11	3	1	7	-7	10
17	De Graafschap	12	3	1	8	-14	10
18	NAC Breda	13	2	2	9	-17	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	7	7	0	0	+26	21
2	Ajax	6	5	1	0	+18	16
3	Feyenoord	5	5	0	0	+10	15
4	Heracles	6	5	0	1	+9	15
5	Utrecht	6	4	1	1	+6	13
6	For Sittard	7	3	2	2	+5	11
7	VVV Venlo	5	3	1	1	+5	10
8	AZ Alkmaar	6	2	3	1	+5	9
9	De Graafschap	7	3	0	4	-4	9
10	Excelsior	7	2	2	3	-7	8
11	Vitesse	4	2	1	1	+1	7
12	NAC Breda	7	2	1	4	-4	7
13	Den Haag	6	2	1	3	-6	7
14	FC Emmen	7	1	3	3	-3	6
15	Willem II	5	1	2	2	+3	5
16	Groningen	6	1	1	4	-3	4
17	Zwolle	7	1	1	5	-4	4
18	Heerenveen	6	0	3	3	-8	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	7	6	0	1	+17	18
2	PSV Eindhoven	6	6	0	0	+15	18
3	Heerenveen	7	3	2	2	+2	11
4	AZ Alkmaar	6	3	0	3	-1	9
5	Feyenoord	6	2	2	2	-1	8
6	VVV Venlo	6	2	2	2	-3	8
7	Den Haag	7	2	2	3	-4	8
8	Willem II	7	2	2	3	-6	8
9	Excelsior	6	2	1	3	-5	7
10	Zwolle	6	2	1	3	-6	7
11	FC Emmen	6	2	1	3	-10	7
12	Groningen	5	2	0	3	-4	6
13	Vitesse	6	1	2	3	-2	5
14	For Sittard	6	1	2	3	-3	5
15	Utrecht	5	1	2	2	-4	5
16	Heracles	7	1	2	4	-11	5
17	De Graafschap	5	0	1	4	-10	1
18	NAC Breda	6	0	1	5	-13	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.