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Eredivisie

Referee: Martin Van den Kerkhof

De Graafschap

T T T S T

3–1

Full-time

Den Haag

S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

De Graafschap Den Haag

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,3

Scored

1,3

1,5

Conceded

1,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,7

This season — Eredivisie · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 19%

11%

26%

Points per game

0,4

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

68%

53%

Both score Ø 63%

58%

68%

Average goals

3,1

2,9

Scored

0,9

1,4

Conceded

2,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,2

-0,1

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

59% Possession 41%

20 Shots 10

6 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 6

2 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 15

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match De Graafschap 18. · Den Haag 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	20	15	3	2	+36	48
2	PSV Eindhoven	19	13	5	1	+27	44
3	Feyenoord	19	11	3	5	+15	36
4	Nijmegen	20	10	4	6	+7	34
5	Vitesse	19	9	4	6	+19	31
6	Heracles	18	9	4	5	+4	31
7	Zwolle	17	8	4	5	+7	28
8	AZ Alkmaar	20	8	4	8	+0	28
9	Groningen	19	7	7	5	-3	28
10	Utrecht	16	6	5	5	+3	23
11	Den Haag	19	5	8	6	-1	23
12	Heerenveen	19	6	5	8	-8	23
13	Willem II	20	4	7	9	-4	19
14	Roda	19	4	7	8	-16	19
15	Excelsior	19	4	5	10	-14	17
16	Twente	20	4	4	12	-23	16
17	Cambuur	20	2	7	11	-26	13
18	De Graafschap	19	2	2	15	-23	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Nijmegen	11	8	2	1	+12	26
2	Ajax	10	8	1	1	+23	25
3	PSV Eindhoven	9	7	2	0	+13	23
4	Feyenoord	9	7	1	1	+14	22
5	Groningen	10	6	3	1	+7	21
6	Heracles	9	6	2	1	+8	20
7	Vitesse	9	6	0	3	+14	18
8	Heerenveen	10	5	3	2	+3	18
9	AZ Alkmaar	11	5	2	4	+3	17
10	Zwolle	9	5	2	2	+3	17
11	Utrecht	7	4	3	0	+6	15
12	Willem II	10	3	4	3	+3	13
13	Twente	9	4	1	4	-3	13
14	Den Haag	10	2	6	2	+0	12
15	Roda	10	2	5	3	-4	11
16	Excelsior	9	2	2	5	-7	8
17	Cambuur	10	1	4	5	-14	7
18	De Graafschap	9	1	1	7	-10	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	10	7	2	1	+13	23
2	PSV Eindhoven	10	6	3	1	+14	21
3	Feyenoord	10	4	2	4	+1	14
4	Vitesse	10	3	4	3	+5	13
5	Zwolle	8	3	2	3	+4	11
6	Den Haag	9	3	2	4	-1	11
7	AZ Alkmaar	9	3	2	4	-3	11
8	Heracles	9	3	2	4	-4	11
9	Excelsior	10	2	3	5	-7	9
10	Utrecht	9	2	2	5	-3	8
11	Nijmegen	9	2	2	5	-5	8
12	Roda	9	2	2	5	-12	8
13	Groningen	9	1	4	4	-10	7
14	Willem II	10	1	3	6	-7	6
15	Cambuur	10	1	3	6	-12	6
16	Heerenveen	9	1	2	6	-11	5
17	De Graafschap	10	1	1	8	-13	4
18	Twente	11	0	3	8	-20	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.