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Eredivisie

Referee: Danny Desmond Makkelie

PSV Eindhoven

S T S S S

3–0

Full-time

Ajax

T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PSV Eindhoven Ajax

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

83%

67%

Points per game

2,5

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

4,3

3,5

Scored

2,8

2,3

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+1,2

This season — Eredivisie · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 78%

83%

73%

Points per game

2,6

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 77%

77%

Both score Ø 57%

50%

63%

Average goals

3,8

3,6

Scored

2,6

2,7

Conceded

1,1

0,9

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+1,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

36% Possession 64%

18 Shots 11

12 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 8

8 Corners 3

1 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 17

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 2

The table before the match PSV Eindhoven 1. · Ajax 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	30	25	2	3	+45	77
2	Ajax	30	22	4	4	+52	70
3	AZ Alkmaar	31	20	5	6	+30	65
4	Feyenoord	31	17	6	8	+30	57
5	Zwolle	31	12	8	11	-3	44
6	Heerenveen	29	11	9	9	-1	42
7	Vitesse	27	11	8	8	+15	41
8	Utrecht	27	11	8	8	-2	41
9	Den Haag	29	11	7	11	-6	40
10	Excelsior	31	11	6	14	-10	39
11	Heracles	31	10	7	14	-17	37
12	VVV Venlo	31	7	13	11	-12	34
13	Groningen	31	7	12	12	-4	33
14	Willem II	31	9	6	16	-10	33
15	NAC Breda	31	8	6	17	-18	30
16	Roda	31	7	5	19	-29	26
17	Sparta Rotterdam	31	6	6	19	-37	24
18	Twente	31	4	8	19	-23	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	15	14	1	0	+32	43
2	Ajax	15	12	1	2	+27	37
3	Feyenoord	16	10	3	3	+18	33
4	Heracles	16	9	3	4	+4	30
5	AZ Alkmaar	15	9	2	4	+10	29
6	Zwolle	16	8	4	4	+8	28
7	Groningen	16	6	7	3	+7	25
8	Utrecht	13	6	6	1	+4	24
9	Willem II	15	6	3	6	+6	21
10	Den Haag	15	6	3	6	-2	21
11	Vitesse	14	5	5	4	+8	20
12	Heerenveen	14	5	4	5	-4	19
13	NAC Breda	16	6	1	9	-8	19
14	Sparta Rotterdam	15	5	2	8	-13	17
15	VVV Venlo	16	3	6	7	-7	15
16	Roda	15	4	3	8	-12	15
17	Twente	15	3	5	7	-8	14
18	Excelsior	15	3	4	8	-7	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	16	11	3	2	+20	36
2	PSV Eindhoven	15	11	1	3	+13	34
3	Ajax	15	10	3	2	+25	33
4	Excelsior	16	8	2	6	-3	26
5	Feyenoord	15	7	3	5	+12	24
6	Heerenveen	15	6	5	4	+3	23
7	Vitesse	13	6	3	4	+7	21
8	Den Haag	14	5	4	5	-4	19
9	VVV Venlo	15	4	7	4	-5	19
10	Utrecht	14	5	2	7	-6	17
11	Zwolle	15	4	4	7	-11	16
12	Willem II	16	3	3	10	-16	12
13	NAC Breda	15	2	5	8	-10	11
14	Roda	16	3	2	11	-17	11
15	Groningen	15	1	5	9	-11	8
16	Heracles	15	1	4	10	-21	7
17	Sparta Rotterdam	16	1	4	11	-24	7
18	Twente	16	1	3	12	-15	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.