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Eredivisie
Referee: Bas Nijhuis
Feyenoord
T S S S S
3–1
Full-time
Utrecht
S S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Feyenoord Utrecht
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
4,3
4,3
Scored
2,7
2,3
Conceded
1,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,3
This season — Eredivisie · 30/26 matches
Win Ø 48%
53%
42%
Points per game
1,8
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
57%
65%
Both score Ø 59%
53%
65%
Average goals
3,2
3,2
Scored
2,1
1,6
Conceded
1,1
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

52% Possession 48%
10 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 3
3 Offside 2
3 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Feyenoord 4. · Utrecht 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 30 25 2 3 +45 77
2 Ajax 30 22 4 4 +52 70
3 AZ Alkmaar 31 20 5 6 +30 65
4 Feyenoord 30 16 6 8 +28 54
5 Zwolle 31 12 8 11 -3 44
6 Heerenveen 29 11 9 9 -1 42
7 Vitesse 27 11 8 8 +15 41
8 Utrecht 26 11 8 7 +0 41
9 Den Haag 29 11 7 11 -6 40
10 Excelsior 31 11 6 14 -10 39
11 Heracles 31 10 7 14 -17 37
12 VVV Venlo 31 7 13 11 -12 34
13 Willem II 31 9 6 16 -10 33
14 Groningen 30 6 12 12 -5 30
15 NAC Breda 31 8 6 17 -18 30
16 Roda 30 7 5 18 -28 26
17 Sparta Rotterdam 31 6 6 19 -37 24
18 Twente 31 4 8 19 -23 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Feyenoord Utrecht
1–0 N. Jørgensen
J. Toornstra
7′
31′
C. Dessers 1–1
Z. Labyad
34′
🟨 Zakaria Labyad
2–1 R. van Persie
S. van Beek
43′
44′
🟨 Yassin Ayoub
Half-time 3–1
3–1 S. Larsson
J. Toornstra
69′
B. Basaçikoglu 🔁
↦ R. van Persie
70′
71′
🔁 U. Emanuelson
↦ M. Klich
T. Malacia 🔁
↦ S. Larsson
73′
75′
🔁 L. Görtler
↦ C. Dessers
82′
🔁 A. Kali
↦ Y. Ayoub
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Feyenoord

4-3-3
25 B. Jones G
6 J. van der Heijden D
5 R. Haps D
3 S. van Beek D
17 K. Diks D
8 K. El Ahmadi M
28 J. Toornstra M
10 T. Vilhena M
32 R. van Persie F
9 N. Jørgensen F
11 S. Larsson F
Bench (10)
14 B. Basaçikoglu
35 T. Malacia
2 B. Nieuwkoop
20 R. Tapia
21 S. Amrabat
22 J. Bijlow
30 R. ten Hove
33 Eric Botteghin
34 D. Vente
36 E. Hansson

Coach: G. van Bronckhorst

Utrecht

4-3-1-2
1 D. Jensen G
3 R. Leeuwin D
14 W. Janssen D
2 M. van der Maarel D
17 S. Klaiber D
13 M. Klich M
10 Z. Labyad F
8 Y. Ayoub M
6 R. Strieder M
22 S. van de Streek M
11 C. Dessers F
Bench (9)
18 U. Emanuelson
27 L. Görtler
23 A. Kali
5 D. Dumić
15 Robin van der Meer
16 N. Marsman
19 B. Ould-Chikh
20 G. Troupée
25 O. Velanas

Coach: J. de Jong

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Bas Nijhuis · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
15,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.