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Eredivisie
Referee: Kevin Blom
NAC Breda
T S T T T
6–1
Full-time
Heracles
U T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

NAC Breda Heracles
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
2,3
3,7
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
1,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,3
This season — Eredivisie · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 24%
19%
29%
Points per game
0,8
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
57%
81%
Both score Ø 72%
57%
86%
Average goals
2,9
3,5
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,9
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,9
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

50% Possession 50%
24 Shots 11
10 Shots on target 5
6 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 6
7 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match NAC Breda 16. · Heracles 12. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 22 19 1 2 +36 58
2 Ajax 21 15 3 3 +41 48
3 AZ Alkmaar 22 14 4 4 +21 46
4 Zwolle 22 11 6 5 +2 39
5 Feyenoord 21 10 6 5 +20 36
6 Utrecht 20 8 7 5 -2 31
7 Vitesse 19 8 6 5 +10 30
8 Heerenveen 21 8 6 7 -2 30
9 VVV Venlo 21 7 8 6 -2 29
10 Den Haag 20 8 4 8 -3 28
11 Excelsior 22 7 4 11 -7 25
12 Heracles 21 6 6 9 -12 24
13 Groningen 21 5 7 9 -2 22
14 Willem II 21 4 5 12 -16 17
15 Twente 22 4 4 14 -16 16
16 NAC Breda 21 4 4 13 -19 16
17 Roda 21 4 4 13 -22 16
18 Sparta Rotterdam 22 3 5 14 -27 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

25. Nov -17 Heracles – NAC Breda 2–1

Match report

NAC Breda Heracles
1–0 R. Vloet ⚽
Angeliño
4′
10′
🔁 R. Baas
↦ J. Hardeveld
13′
⚽ V. Vermeij 1–1
R. Baas
2–1 T. Ambrose ⚽
18′
38′
🟨 Tim Breukers
Arno Verschueren 🟨
40′
45′
🟨 Jamiro Monteiro
45′
🔁 D. Wuytens
↦ D. Van den Buijs
Half-time 2–1
L. Schoofs 🔁
↦ G. Nijholt
46′
3–1 Manu García ⚽
50′
66′
🔁 P. Gladon
↦ K. Peterson
F. Sporkslede 🔁
↦ A. Verschueren
70′
74′
🟨 Tim Breukers
74′
🟥 Tim Breukers
Mounir El Allouchi 🟨
78′
4–1 M. te Vrede ⚽
M. El Allouchi
78′
U. Sadiq 🔁
↦ M. te Vrede
79′
5–1 M. El Allouchi ⚽
U. Sadiq
81′
6–1 U. Sadiq ⚽
T. Ambrose
83′
Full-time 6–1

Line-ups

NAC Breda

4-3-3
12 M. Birighitti G
22 Pablo Marí D
69 Angeliño D
30 G. Nijholt M
5 K. Mets D
10 R. Vloet M
6 A. Verschueren M
8 M. El Allouchi M
19 Manu García M
27 M. te Vrede F
9 T. Ambrose F
Bench (8)
24 L. Schoofs
2 F. Sporkslede
97 U. Sadiq
7 G. Korte
11 Paolo Fernandes
17 B. Brusselers
26 K. Niemczycki
35 J. Horsfield

Coach: S. Vreven

Heracles

4-3-3
1 B. Castro G
2 T. Breukers D
4 R. Pröpper D
34 J. Hardeveld D
6 D. Van den Buijs D
21 S. Jakubiak M
35 Jamiro M
29 R. Niemeijer M
18 K. Peterson F
17 B. Kuwas F
19 V. Vermeij F
Bench (9)
22 R. Baas
3 D. Wuytens
9 P. Gladon
14 M. Osman
15 J. Navrátil
20 P. van Ooijen
24 G. Agbaljan
26 H. Zeinstra
28 M. Brouwer

Coach: J. Stegeman

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Kevin Blom · 56 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
14,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.