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Eredivisie

Referee: Dennis Higler

PSV Eindhoven

S S S S S

4–3

Full-time

Twente

T S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PSV Eindhoven Twente

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

100%

50%

Points per game

3,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

4,8

3,2

Scored

4,0

1,8

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+3,2

+0,5

This season — Eredivisie · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 60%

90%

30%

Points per game

2,7

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

70%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

4,3

2,8

Scored

3,3

1,3

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+2,3

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

57% Possession 43%

20 Shots 10

8 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

8 Corners 6

2 Offside 2

6 Free kicks against 16

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match PSV Eindhoven 1. · Twente 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	10	9	0	1	+23	27
2	Ajax	11	7	1	3	+17	22
3	Zwolle	11	6	4	1	+7	22
4	AZ Alkmaar	11	7	1	3	+4	22
5	Vitesse	10	5	3	2	+10	18
6	Feyenoord	11	5	3	3	+7	18
7	Excelsior	11	5	2	4	+0	17
8	Heracles	11	4	3	4	-1	15
9	Heerenveen	10	4	3	3	-4	15
10	Den Haag	11	4	2	5	-4	14
11	VVV Venlo	11	3	4	4	-4	13
12	Utrecht	9	4	1	4	-6	13
13	Sparta Rotterdam	11	2	4	5	-9	10
14	Twente	10	3	0	7	-2	9
15	Groningen	11	2	3	6	-5	9
16	NAC Breda	11	2	3	6	-8	9
17	Willem II	11	3	0	8	-12	9
18	Roda	11	2	1	8	-13	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	5	5	0	0	+11	15
2	Zwolle	5	5	0	0	+8	15
3	Heracles	7	4	2	1	+4	14
4	AZ Alkmaar	6	4	0	2	+1	12
5	Ajax	5	3	0	2	+7	9
6	Twente	5	3	0	2	+5	9
7	Groningen	6	2	3	1	+1	9
8	Sparta Rotterdam	6	2	2	2	-1	8
9	Feyenoord	5	2	1	2	+1	7
10	Utrecht	4	2	1	1	-2	7
11	Vitesse	5	1	2	2	+0	5
12	VVV Venlo	6	1	2	3	-4	5
13	Den Haag	6	1	2	3	-4	5
14	Roda	4	1	1	2	-3	4
15	NAC Breda	5	1	1	3	-5	4
16	Excelsior	6	1	1	4	-6	4
17	Heerenveen	5	1	1	3	-7	4
18	Willem II	5	1	0	4	-3	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	6	4	1	1	+10	13
2	Vitesse	5	4	1	0	+10	13
3	Excelsior	5	4	1	0	+6	13
4	PSV Eindhoven	5	4	0	1	+12	12
5	Feyenoord	6	3	2	1	+6	11
6	Heerenveen	5	3	2	0	+3	11
7	AZ Alkmaar	5	3	1	1	+3	10
8	Den Haag	5	3	0	2	+0	9
9	VVV Venlo	5	2	2	1	+0	8
10	Zwolle	6	1	4	1	-1	7
11	Utrecht	5	2	0	3	-4	6
12	Willem II	6	2	0	4	-9	6
13	NAC Breda	6	1	2	3	-3	5
14	Roda	7	1	0	6	-10	3
15	Sparta Rotterdam	5	0	2	3	-8	2
16	Heracles	4	0	1	3	-5	1
17	Groningen	5	0	0	5	-6	0
18	Twente	5	0	0	5	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.