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La Liga

Referee: Jose Maria Sanchez Martinez

Real Madrid

S S S S T

3–0

Full-time

Las Palmas

T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Real Madrid Las Palmas

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,5

3,5

Scored

1,7

0,5

Conceded

0,8

3,0

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-2,5

This season — La Liga · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 40%

60%

20%

Points per game

2,0

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

70%

60%

Both score Ø 50%

60%

40%

Average goals

2,8

3,3

Scored

1,9

0,8

Conceded

0,9

2,5

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-1,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

59% Possession 41%

27 Shots 3

9 Shots on target 1

8 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 6

9 Corners 2

6 Offside 3

9 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Real Madrid 4. · Las Palmas 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	11	10	1	0	+26	31
2	Valencia	11	8	3	0	+19	27
3	Ath Madrid	11	6	5	0	+10	23
4	Real Madrid	10	6	2	2	+10	20
5	Villarreal	11	6	2	3	+7	20
6	Sevilla	11	6	1	4	+1	19
7	Sociedad	11	5	2	4	+3	17
8	Betis	11	5	2	4	+1	17
9	Leganes	11	5	2	4	+1	17
10	Girona	11	4	3	4	-3	15
11	Celta	11	4	2	5	+5	14
12	Getafe	11	3	4	4	+2	13
13	Espanol	11	3	4	4	-4	13
14	Levante	11	2	6	3	-3	12
15	Ath Bilbao	11	3	2	6	-4	11
16	La Coruna	11	3	2	6	-7	11
17	Eibar	11	2	2	7	-19	8
18	Alaves	11	2	0	9	-11	6
19	Las Palmas	10	2	0	8	-17	6
20	Malaga	11	1	1	9	-17	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	6	6	0	0	+18	18
2	Valencia	6	5	1	0	+14	16
3	Villarreal	5	4	1	0	+11	13
4	Sevilla	5	4	1	0	+7	13
5	Betis	6	4	1	1	+5	13
6	Espanol	5	3	1	1	+4	10
7	Levante	7	2	3	2	+1	9
8	Real Madrid	5	2	2	1	+4	8
9	Ath Madrid	4	2	2	0	+3	8
10	Sociedad	6	2	2	2	+2	8
11	Celta	6	2	2	2	+1	8
12	Leganes	5	2	2	1	+1	8
13	Ath Bilbao	5	2	1	2	+0	7
14	Girona	6	2	1	3	-3	7
15	Getafe	5	2	0	3	+2	6
16	La Coruna	6	2	0	4	-5	6
17	Eibar	5	1	2	2	-4	5
18	Malaga	5	1	1	3	-4	4
19	Alaves	6	1	0	5	-8	3
20	Las Palmas	5	1	0	4	-10	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	7	4	3	0	+7	15
2	Barcelona	5	4	1	0	+8	13
3	Real Madrid	5	4	0	1	+6	12
4	Valencia	5	3	2	0	+5	11
5	Sociedad	5	3	0	2	+1	9
6	Leganes	6	3	0	3	+0	9
7	Girona	5	2	2	1	+0	8
8	Getafe	6	1	4	1	+0	7
9	Villarreal	6	2	1	3	-4	7
10	Celta	5	2	0	3	+4	6
11	Sevilla	6	2	0	4	-6	6
12	La Coruna	5	1	2	2	-2	5
13	Ath Bilbao	6	1	1	4	-4	4
14	Betis	5	1	1	3	-4	4
15	Alaves	5	1	0	4	-3	3
16	Levante	4	0	3	1	-4	3
17	Las Palmas	5	1	0	4	-7	3
18	Espanol	6	0	3	3	-8	3
19	Eibar	6	1	0	5	-15	3
20	Malaga	6	0	0	6	-13	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.