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Eredivisie

Referee: Pol van Boekel

PSV Eindhoven

S S U S S

4–2

Full-time

Twente

T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PSV Eindhoven Twente

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,8

4,0

Scored

2,0

1,5

Conceded

0,8

2,5

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-1,0

This season — Eredivisie · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 45%

67%

22%

Points per game

2,3

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

67%

72%

Both score Ø 72%

72%

Average goals

3,5

Scored

2,4

1,2

Conceded

1,1

2,3

Goal diff per game

+1,4

-1,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

53% Possession 47%

18 Shots 14

8 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 5

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 6

0 Free kicks against 0

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match PSV Eindhoven 2. · Twente 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	19	15	2	2	+36	47
2	PSV Eindhoven	18	12	5	1	+25	41
3	Feyenoord	19	11	3	5	+15	36
4	Vitesse	19	9	4	6	+19	31
5	Nijmegen	19	9	4	6	+5	31
6	Heracles	17	9	3	5	+4	30
7	Zwolle	17	8	4	5	+7	28
8	Groningen	18	7	6	5	-3	27
9	AZ Alkmaar	19	7	4	8	-2	25
10	Utrecht	16	6	5	5	+3	23
11	Heerenveen	19	6	5	8	-8	23
12	Den Haag	18	4	8	6	-2	20
13	Roda	19	4	7	8	-16	19
14	Willem II	19	4	6	9	-4	18
15	Excelsior	19	4	5	10	-14	17
16	Twente	18	4	4	10	-19	16
17	Cambuur	18	2	7	9	-23	13
18	De Graafschap	19	2	2	15	-23	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	9	8	0	1	+23	24
2	Nijmegen	10	7	2	1	+10	23
3	Feyenoord	9	7	1	1	+14	22
4	Groningen	10	6	3	1	+7	21
5	PSV Eindhoven	8	6	2	0	+11	20
6	Heracles	9	6	2	1	+8	20
7	Vitesse	9	6	0	3	+14	18
8	Heerenveen	10	5	3	2	+3	18
9	Zwolle	9	5	2	2	+3	17
10	Utrecht	7	4	3	0	+6	15
11	AZ Alkmaar	10	4	2	4	+1	14
12	Twente	9	4	1	4	-3	13
13	Willem II	9	3	3	3	+3	12
14	Roda	10	2	5	3	-4	11
15	Den Haag	9	1	6	2	-1	9
16	Excelsior	9	2	2	5	-7	8
17	Cambuur	10	1	4	5	-14	7
18	De Graafschap	9	1	1	7	-10	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	10	7	2	1	+13	23
2	PSV Eindhoven	10	6	3	1	+14	21
3	Feyenoord	10	4	2	4	+1	14
4	Vitesse	10	3	4	3	+5	13
5	Zwolle	8	3	2	3	+4	11
6	Den Haag	9	3	2	4	-1	11
7	AZ Alkmaar	9	3	2	4	-3	11
8	Heracles	8	3	1	4	-4	10
9	Excelsior	10	2	3	5	-7	9
10	Utrecht	9	2	2	5	-3	8
11	Nijmegen	9	2	2	5	-5	8
12	Roda	9	2	2	5	-12	8
13	Willem II	10	1	3	6	-7	6
14	Cambuur	8	1	3	4	-9	6
15	Groningen	8	1	3	4	-10	6
16	Heerenveen	9	1	2	6	-11	5
17	De Graafschap	10	1	1	8	-13	4
18	Twente	9	0	3	6	-16	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.