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Eredivisie
Referee: Dennis Higler
Twente
T T T S T
2–1
Full-time
Heracles
U U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Twente Heracles
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
2,3
3,5
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,2
This season — Eredivisie · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
2,3
3,5
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

41% Possession 59%
16 Shots 14
7 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 6
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 2
1 Offside 4
17 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Twente 16. · Heracles 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 6 5 0 1 +11 15
2 Heerenveen 6 4 2 0 +5 14
3 Vitesse 6 4 1 1 +8 13
4 Feyenoord 6 4 0 2 +6 12
5 AZ Alkmaar 6 4 0 2 +3 12
6 Zwolle 6 3 2 1 +2 11
7 Ajax 6 3 1 2 +5 10
8 VVV Venlo 6 2 3 1 +2 9
9 Utrecht 6 3 0 3 -4 9
10 Heracles 6 2 2 2 -1 8
11 Groningen 6 2 2 2 -1 8
12 Excelsior 6 2 1 3 -2 7
13 NAC Breda 6 2 1 3 -4 7
14 Den Haag 6 2 1 3 -4 7
15 Sparta Rotterdam 6 1 2 3 -5 5
16 Twente 6 1 0 5 -2 3
17 Willem II 6 1 0 5 -8 3
18 Roda 6 0 0 6 -11 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.