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Eredivisie
Referee: Serdar Gozubuyuk
PSV Eindhoven
S U U S S
1–1
Full-time
Twente
S U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PSV Eindhoven Twente
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,0
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
0,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,0
This season — Eredivisie · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 55%
64%
45%
Points per game
2,2
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
36%
64%
Both score Ø 55%
36%
73%
Average goals
2,2
3,3
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
0,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

61% Possession 39%
20 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
7 Corners 1
10 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match PSV Eindhoven 3. · Twente 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 11 9 2 0 +22 29
2 Ajax 11 8 2 1 +15 26
3 PSV Eindhoven 11 7 3 1 +14 24
4 Heerenveen 11 6 3 2 +11 21
5 Twente 11 5 3 3 +4 18
6 AZ Alkmaar 9 4 4 1 +6 16
7 Sparta Rotterdam 12 4 4 4 +1 16
8 Vitesse 11 4 3 4 +2 15
9 Den Haag 12 4 2 6 -6 14
10 Utrecht 9 3 3 3 +0 12
11 Zwolle 11 3 3 5 -9 12
12 Nijmegen 11 2 5 4 -7 11
13 Excelsior 11 3 1 7 -8 10
14 Willem II 12 2 4 6 -9 10
15 Heracles 11 1 6 4 -5 9
16 Go Ahead Eagles 11 2 2 7 -11 8
17 Roda 11 1 5 5 -11 8
18 Groningen 10 1 3 6 -9 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

PSV Eindhoven Twente
Davy Pröpper 🟨
10′
Half-time 0–1
53′
E. Ünal 0–1
S. Thesker
O. Zinchenko 🔁
↦ D. Pröpper
58′
1–1 H. Moreno
62′
Héctor Moreno 🟨
65′
L. Narsingh 🔁
↦ S. Bergwijn
75′
83′
🔁 J. Andersen
↦ D. Trajkovski
S. Lammers 🔁
↦ B. Ramselaar
84′
89′
🔁 T. Hölscher
↦ Y. Yeboah
Gastón Pereiro 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Jeroen van der Lely
90′
🟨 Nick Marsman
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

PSV Eindhoven

4-3-3
22 R. Pasveer G
3 H. Moreno D
4 S. Arias D
2 N. Isimat-Mirin D
20 J. Brenet D
18 A. Guardado M
6 D. Pröpper M
23 B. Ramselaar M
9 L. de Jong F
7 G. Pereiro M
27 S. Bergwijn F
Bench (11)
25 O. Zinchenko
11 L. Narsingh
50 S. Lammers
5 D. Schwaab
14 S. Poulsen
15 J. Willems
17 F. Jozefzoon
31 H. Jurjus
38 R. Lundqvist
41 Y. van Osch
43 P. Rosario

Coach: P. Cocu

Twente

4-4-2
1 N. Marsman G
5 S. Thesker D
6 D. Trajkovski D
25 P. Bijen D
2 H. ter Avest D
28 J. van der Lely D
43 M. Klich M
22 K. Mokotjo M
10 B. Celina M
17 E. Ünal F
14 Y. Yeboah F
Bench (8)
3 J. Andersen
12 T. Hölscher
4 G. Katsikas
11 D. Seys
13 N. Hengelman
16 J. Drommel
23 J. van der Heyden
24 J. Oosterwijk

Coach: R. Hake

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Serdar Gozubuyuk · 131 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.