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Eredivisie

Referee: Danny Desmond Makkelie

VVV Venlo

T U U U S

2–5

Full-time

PSV Eindhoven

S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

VVV Venlo PSV Eindhoven

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,5

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,2

3,7

Scored

1,2

3,0

Conceded

1,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+2,3

This season — Eredivisie · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 65%

43%

86%

Points per game

1,7

2,6

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

29%

57%

Both score Ø 50%

57%

43%

Average goals

2,3

3,9

Scored

1,4

3,0

Conceded

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,6

+2,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

38% Possession 62%

9 Shots 34

6 Shots on target 13

1 Blocked shots 5

8 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 11

8 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match VVV Venlo 7. · PSV Eindhoven 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	7	6	0	1	+15	18
2	Ajax	8	5	1	2	+13	16
3	Feyenoord	8	5	1	2	+10	16
4	Zwolle	8	4	3	1	+3	15
5	Vitesse	7	4	2	1	+8	14
6	Heerenveen	7	4	2	1	+1	14
7	VVV Venlo	7	3	3	1	+4	12
8	AZ Alkmaar	7	4	0	3	-1	12
9	Den Haag	7	3	1	3	-3	10
10	Heracles	8	2	3	3	-2	9
11	Utrecht	6	3	0	3	-4	9
12	Groningen	7	2	2	3	-2	8
13	Excelsior	7	2	1	4	-4	7
14	NAC Breda	8	2	1	5	-6	7
15	Twente	7	2	0	5	-1	6
16	Roda	8	2	0	6	-9	6
17	Sparta Rotterdam	8	1	2	5	-10	5
18	Willem II	7	1	0	6	-12	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	4	4	0	0	+8	12
2	Zwolle	4	4	0	0	+6	12
3	Ajax	4	3	0	1	+8	9
4	Groningen	4	2	2	0	+2	8
5	Heracles	5	2	2	1	+0	8
6	Feyenoord	4	2	1	1	+4	7
7	Twente	3	2	0	1	+4	6
8	Utrecht	3	2	0	1	-2	6
9	AZ Alkmaar	4	2	0	2	-3	6
10	Vitesse	3	1	1	1	+2	4
11	VVV Venlo	3	1	1	1	+1	4
12	Heerenveen	3	1	1	1	-2	4
13	Sparta Rotterdam	4	1	1	2	-2	4
14	NAC Breda	4	1	1	2	-3	4
15	Den Haag	4	1	1	2	-3	4
16	Roda	3	1	0	2	-3	3
17	Willem II	3	0	0	3	-3	0
18	Excelsior	4	0	0	4	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vitesse	4	3	1	0	+6	10
2	Heerenveen	4	3	1	0	+3	10
3	Feyenoord	4	3	0	1	+6	9
4	VVV Venlo	4	2	2	0	+3	8
5	Ajax	4	2	1	1	+5	7
6	Excelsior	3	2	1	0	+3	7
7	PSV Eindhoven	3	2	0	1	+7	6
8	AZ Alkmaar	3	2	0	1	+2	6
9	Den Haag	3	2	0	1	+0	6
10	Utrecht	3	1	0	2	-2	3
11	NAC Breda	4	1	0	3	-3	3
12	Zwolle	4	0	3	1	-3	3
13	Roda	5	1	0	4	-6	3
14	Willem II	4	1	0	3	-9	3
15	Heracles	3	0	1	2	-2	1
16	Sparta Rotterdam	4	0	1	3	-8	1
17	Groningen	3	0	0	3	-4	0
18	Twente	4	0	0	4	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.