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Bundesliga
Referee: Robert Kampka
Wolfsburg
U U U U U
3–3
Full-time
Hertha
T U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolfsburg Hertha
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 20%
10%
30%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 30%
30%
30%
Both score Ø 65%
70%
60%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,1
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

58% Possession 42%
20 Shots 10
8 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 2
3 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 19
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Wolfsburg 14. · Hertha 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 11 8 2 1 +19 26
2 RB Leipzig 11 7 1 3 +5 22
3 Dortmund 11 6 2 3 +14 20
4 Schalke 04 11 6 2 3 +4 20
5 Hoffenheim 11 5 4 2 +6 19
6 Hannover 11 5 3 3 +4 18
7 Ein Frankfurt 11 5 3 3 +2 18
8 M'gladbach 11 5 3 3 -2 18
9 Leverkusen 11 4 4 3 +7 16
10 Augsburg 11 4 4 3 +5 16
11 Hertha 10 3 4 3 -1 13
12 Stuttgart 11 4 1 6 -4 13
13 Mainz 11 3 3 5 -5 12
14 Wolfsburg 10 1 7 2 -3 10
15 Hamburg 11 3 1 7 -8 10
16 Freiburg 11 1 5 5 -15 8
17 Werder Bremen 11 0 5 6 -10 5
18 FC Koln 11 0 2 9 -18 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wolfsburg Hertha
1′
V. Ibišević 0–1
V. Lazaro
20′
🟨 Per Ciljan Skjelbred
28′
🔁 A. Maier
↦ N. Stark
1–1 Y. Mallı
D. Origi
41′
2–1 M. Gómez
D. Didavi
44′
Half-time 2–2
53′
K. Rekik 2–2
M. Plattenhardt
55′
🔁 A. Esswein
↦ P. Pekarík
3–2 D. Origi
R. Knoche
60′
67′
🔁 D. Selke
↦ S. Kalou
J. Błaszczykowski 🔁
↦ D. Origi
83′
83′
D. Selke 3–3
Marcel Tisserand 🟨
90′
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Wolfsburg

4-2-3-1
1 K. Casteels G
3 P. Verhaegh D
31 R. Knoche D
29 M. Tisserand D
25 J. Brooks D
11 D. Didavi M
23 J. Guilavogui M
10 Y. Mallı M
27 M. Arnold M
33 M. Gómez F
14 D. Origi F
Bench (7)
16 J. Błaszczykowski
6 R. Bazoer
7 P. Ntep
13 Y. Gerhardt
20 M. Grün
32 K. Hinds
35 G. Itter

Coach: M. Schmidt

Hertha

4-2-3-1
22 R. Jarstein G
15 S. Langkamp D
2 P. Pekarík D
21 M. Plattenhardt D
4 K. Rekik D
5 N. Stark D
8 S. Kalou M
3 P. Skjelbred M
23 M. Weiser D
20 V. Lazaro M
19 V. Ibišević F
Bench (7)
26 A. Maier
7 A. Esswein
27 D. Selke
1 T. Kraft
10 O. Duda
17 M. Mittelstädt
25 J. Torunarigha

Coach: P. Dárdai

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Robert Kampka · 33 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
30,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,03 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.