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Eliteserien
Referee: Rohit Saggi
Brann
T T T T S
2–0
Full-time
Lillestrom
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brann Lillestrom
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,8
2,0
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,0
This season — Eliteserien · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 39%
44%
33%
Points per game
1,6
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
52%
56%
Both score Ø 54%
48%
59%
Average goals
2,9
2,8
Scored
1,7
1,4
Conceded
1,2
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

62% Possession 38%
14 Shots 9
2 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 3
3 Offside 3
15 Free kicks against 17
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Brann 5. · Lillestrom 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 27 17 7 3 +37 58
2 Molde 28 15 5 8 +14 50
3 Sarpsborg 08 27 12 11 4 +14 47
4 Stromsgodset 27 12 8 7 +6 44
5 Brann 27 12 7 8 +14 43
6 Haugesund 27 11 6 10 +1 39
7 Odd 27 11 6 10 -6 39
8 Valerenga 28 10 6 12 +3 36
9 Sandefjord 28 11 3 14 -10 36
10 Stabaek 27 9 8 10 -7 35
11 Lillestrom 27 9 7 11 -2 34
12 Kristiansund 28 8 10 10 -4 34
13 Tromso 27 8 7 12 -11 31
14 Sogndal 27 7 7 13 -11 28
15 Aalesund 27 6 8 13 -13 26
16 Viking 27 4 6 17 -25 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brann Lillestrom
1–0 D. Vega
F. Haugen
8′
Sivert Nilsen 🟨
44′
Half-time 1–0
T. Børven 🔁
↦ K. Barmen
46′
J. Grønner 🔁
↦ V. Wormgoor
56′
61′
🔁 S. Udodji
↦ C. Ezeh
Petter Orry Larsen 🟨
66′
77′
🟨 Frode Kippe
81′
🔁 M. Tagbajumi
↦ F. Krogstad
2–0 J. Grønner
S. Nilsen
82′
A. Karadas 🔁
↦ L. Marengo
83′
Piotr Leciejewski 🟨
90′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Brann

4-3-3
24 P. Leciejewski
33 A. Nouri D
15 B. Acosta D
3 V. Wormgoor D
21 R. Kristiansen D
7 P. Larsen M
8 F. Haugen M
23 S. Nilsen M
29 K. Barmen M
19 D. Vega F
14 L. Marengo F
Bench (7)
22 T. Børven
5 J. Grønner
18 A. Karadas
6 V. Jonsson
9 K. Skaanes
12 M. Pettersen
17 G. Sørensen

Coach: L. Nilsen

Lillestrom

4-5-1
77 A. Origi G
13 F. Kippe D
4 M. Amundsen D
3 S. Mikalsen D
2 M. Haakenstad D
5 S. Rafn D
15 E. Brenden M
14 F. Krogstad M
6 I. Matthew M
8 C. Ezeh M
11 E. Knudtzon F
Bench (6)
23 S. Udodji
10 M. Tagbajumi
1 M. Marić
7 M. Ebiye
22 S. Antonijevic
33 A. Melgalvis

Coach: A. Erlandsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Rohit Saggi · 123 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.