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Eredivisie

Referee: Allard Lindhout

Twente

S T S T S

1–3

Full-time

Excelsior

T S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Twente Excelsior

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,5

Scored

1,7

1,0

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,5

This season — Eredivisie · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

67%

56%

Both score Ø 50%

44%

56%

Average goals

2,7

2,6

Scored

1,3

1,1

Conceded

1,3

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

52% Possession 48%

16 Shots 8

7 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 6

10 Corners 3

11 Free kicks against 18

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Twente 11. · Excelsior 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	9	8	0	1	+21	24
2	Ajax	9	6	1	2	+16	19
3	Zwolle	9	5	3	1	+5	18
4	Vitesse	8	5	2	1	+12	17
5	Feyenoord	9	5	1	3	+7	16
6	AZ Alkmaar	9	5	1	3	+2	16
7	Heerenveen	8	4	2	2	-3	14
8	Den Haag	9	4	1	4	-2	13
9	VVV Venlo	9	3	3	3	-1	12
10	Excelsior	9	3	2	4	-3	11
11	Twente	9	3	0	6	+0	9
12	Groningen	9	2	3	4	-3	9
13	Heracles	9	2	3	4	-5	9
14	Utrecht	7	3	0	4	-7	9
15	Willem II	9	3	0	6	-9	9
16	NAC Breda	9	2	1	6	-8	7
17	Sparta Rotterdam	9	1	3	5	-10	6
18	Roda	9	2	0	7	-12	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	5	5	0	0	+11	15
2	Zwolle	4	4	0	0	+6	12
3	Ajax	4	3	0	1	+8	9
4	Twente	4	3	0	1	+7	9
5	Groningen	6	2	3	1	+1	9
6	AZ Alkmaar	5	3	0	2	+0	9
7	Heracles	5	2	2	1	+0	8
8	Feyenoord	5	2	1	2	+1	7
9	Utrecht	3	2	0	1	-2	6
10	Vitesse	3	1	1	1	+2	4
11	Sparta Rotterdam	4	1	1	2	-2	4
12	VVV Venlo	5	1	1	3	-4	4
13	Den Haag	5	1	1	3	-4	4
14	NAC Breda	5	1	1	3	-5	4
15	Heerenveen	4	1	1	2	-6	4
16	Willem II	4	1	0	3	-1	3
17	Roda	3	1	0	2	-3	3
18	Excelsior	5	0	1	4	-7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vitesse	5	4	1	0	+10	13
2	Ajax	5	3	1	1	+8	10
3	Excelsior	4	3	1	0	+4	10
4	Heerenveen	4	3	1	0	+3	10
5	PSV Eindhoven	4	3	0	1	+10	9
6	Feyenoord	4	3	0	1	+6	9
7	Den Haag	4	3	0	1	+2	9
8	VVV Venlo	4	2	2	0	+3	8
9	AZ Alkmaar	4	2	1	1	+2	7
10	Zwolle	5	1	3	1	-1	6
11	Willem II	5	2	0	3	-8	6
12	NAC Breda	4	1	0	3	-3	3
13	Utrecht	4	1	0	3	-5	3
14	Roda	6	1	0	5	-9	3
15	Sparta Rotterdam	5	0	2	3	-8	2
16	Heracles	4	0	1	3	-5	1
17	Groningen	3	0	0	3	-4	0
18	Twente	5	0	0	5	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.