Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Arendal
Ranheim
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bodo/Glimt
|
29 | 21 | 5 | 3 | +45 | 68 |
| 2 |
Start
|
29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | +22 | 55 |
| 3 |
Ranheim
|
27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | +12 | 49 |
| 4 |
Ull/Kisa
|
28 | 15 | 3 | 10 | +10 | 48 |
| 5 |
Sandnes ULF
|
28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | +7 | 48 |
| 6 |
Mjondalen
|
27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | +11 | 43 |
| 7 |
Levanger
|
29 | 9 | 12 | 8 | +1 | 39 |
| 8 |
Kongsvinger
|
29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | +2 | 36 |
| 9 |
Strommen
|
29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | -3 | 36 |
| 10 |
Floro
|
29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | -5 | 35 |
| 11 |
Tromsdalen Uil
|
29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 34 |
| 12 |
Jerv
|
29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | -13 | 32 |
| 13 |
Asane
|
29 | 6 | 12 | 11 | -19 | 30 |
| 14 |
Elverum
|
29 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -19 | 24 |
| 15 |
Fredrikstad
|
29 | 4 | 11 | 14 | -22 | 23 |
| 16 |
Arendal
|
29 | 5 | 6 | 18 | -28 | 21 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Y. Ibrahimaj
Coach: M. Andersson
A. Witry
S. Sørløkk
Coach: S. Maalen
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Ull/Kisa
Arendal
Arendal
Start
Sandnes ULF
Arendal
Arendal
Kongsvinger
Elverum
Arendal
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.