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Eredivisie
Referee: Paulus van Boekel
Groningen
S U S T T
3–3
Full-time
Heerenveen
S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Groningen Heerenveen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
5,2
3,2
Scored
2,7
0,8
Conceded
2,5
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

47% Possession 53%
16 Shots 19
5 Shots on target 8
2 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 6
4 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Vitesse 1 1 0 0 +3 3
2 VVV Venlo 1 1 0 0 +3 3
3 Utrecht 1 1 0 0 +3 3
4 Zwolle 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 PSV Eindhoven 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Excelsior 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Heracles 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Feyenoord 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 AZ Alkmaar 1 0 0 1 -1 0
10 Willem II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
11 Ajax 1 0 0 1 -1 0
12 Twente 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Roda 1 0 0 1 -2 0
14 NAC Breda 1 0 0 1 -3 0
15 Sparta Rotterdam 1 0 0 1 -3 0
16 Den Haag 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

29. Jan -17 Heerenveen – Groningen 0–0 15. Oct -16 Groningen – Heerenveen 0–3 1. May -16 Heerenveen – Groningen 1–2 13. Sep -15 Groningen – Heerenveen 3–1

Match report

Groningen Heerenveen
6′
⚽ M. Thorsby 0–1
D. Dumfries
9′
🔁 W. van der Steen
↦ W. Hahn
Ritsu Doan 🟨
33′
40′
⚽ R. Ghoochannejhad 0–2
D. Dumfries
Half-time 0–2
52′
🟨 Morten Thorsby
1–2 L. Veldwijk ⚽
Jesper Drost
53′
T. van Weert 🔁
↦ R. Doan
63′
72′
🔁 M. Rojas
↦ A. Zeneli
2–2 M. Mahi ⚽
82′
T. Kane 🔁
↦ M. te Wierik
83′
83′
🔁 H. Veerman
↦ R. Ghoochannejhad
86′
⚽ M. Thorsby 2–3
H. Veerman
87′
🟨 Joost van Aken
3–3 M. Mahi ⚽
88′
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Groningen

4-4-2
1 S. Padt G
6 E. Reijnen D
4 M. te Wierik D
3 K. Larsen D
21 D. Warmerdam D
8 R. Jenssen M
17 Jesper Drost M
7 J. Bacuna M
25 R. Doan M
9 L. Veldwijk F
10 M. Mahi M
Bench (10)
19 T. van Weert
2 T. Kane
68 L. Reis
20 Y. van Nieff
5 S. Memišević
36 T. van de Looi
16 K. Begois
23 A. Hrustic
31 J. Hoekstra
39 A. Absalem

Coach: E. Faber

Heerenveen

4-3-3
1 W. Hahn G
3 D. Høegh D
16 L. Woudenberg D
4 J. van Aken D
2 D. Dumfries D
6 S. Schaars M
21 Y. Kobayashi M
8 M. Thorsby M
9 R. Ghoochannejhad F
13 A. Zeneli F
10 M. Ødegaard F
Bench (9)
23 W. van der Steen
7 M. Rojas
20 H. Veerman
18 M. Vlap
25 J. Bekkema
19 P. van Amersfoort
5 K. Pierie
17 N. Mihajlović
12 D. Schmidt

Coach: J. Streppel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Paulus van Boekel · 30 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.