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Eredivisie
Referee: Martin Van den Kerkhof
Twente
T S S S S
2–0
Full-time
Groningen
U S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Twente Groningen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,0
This season — Eredivisie · 24/23 matches
Win Ø 36%
33%
39%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
71%
43%
Both score Ø 62%
67%
57%
Average goals
3,5
2,7
Scored
1,4
1,3
Conceded
2,0
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%
14 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
11 Corners 7
2 Offside 1
0 Free kicks against 0
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Twente 13. · Groningen 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 24 18 5 1 +38 59
2 Ajax 24 18 4 2 +41 58
3 AZ Alkmaar 24 12 4 8 +10 40
4 Vitesse 24 10 7 7 +21 37
5 Feyenoord 24 11 4 9 +9 37
6 Nijmegen 25 10 6 9 -1 36
7 Zwolle 22 10 5 7 +7 35
8 Heracles 22 10 5 7 +1 35
9 Groningen 23 9 7 7 -3 34
10 Den Haag 24 7 9 8 -1 30
11 Heerenveen 24 8 6 10 -11 30
12 Utrecht 21 8 5 8 +1 29
13 Twente 24 8 4 12 -15 28
14 Roda 24 5 10 9 -16 25
15 Willem II 24 4 10 10 -5 22
16 Excelsior 25 5 7 13 -19 22
17 De Graafschap 24 3 5 16 -23 14
18 Cambuur 24 2 7 15 -34 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

12. Aug -15 Groningen – Twente 1–1

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.