Eredivisie
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Twente
Groningen
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
24 | 18 | 5 | 1 | +38 | 59 |
| 2 |
Ajax
|
24 | 18 | 4 | 2 | +41 | 58 |
| 3 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | +10 | 40 |
| 4 |
Vitesse
|
24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | +21 | 37 |
| 5 |
Feyenoord
|
24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | +9 | 37 |
| 6 |
Nijmegen
|
25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | -1 | 36 |
| 7 |
Zwolle
|
22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | +7 | 35 |
| 8 |
Heracles
|
22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | +1 | 35 |
| 9 |
Groningen
|
23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | -3 | 34 |
| 10 |
Den Haag
|
24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | -1 | 30 |
| 11 |
Heerenveen
|
24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | -11 | 30 |
| 12 |
Utrecht
|
21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | +1 | 29 |
| 13 |
Twente
|
24 | 8 | 4 | 12 | -15 | 28 |
| 14 |
Roda
|
24 | 5 | 10 | 9 | -16 | 25 |
| 15 |
Willem II
|
24 | 4 | 10 | 10 | -5 | 22 |
| 16 |
Excelsior
|
25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -19 | 22 |
| 17 |
De Graafschap
|
24 | 3 | 5 | 16 | -23 | 14 |
| 18 |
Cambuur
|
24 | 2 | 7 | 15 | -34 | 13 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Twente
Cambuur
Roda
Twente
Heerenveen
Twente
Twente
Utrecht
Nijmegen
Twente
Martin Van den Kerkhof · 67 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.