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Eredivisie
Referee: Danny Desmond Makkelie
NAC Breda
T T U T
2–1
Full-time
Groningen
T U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

NAC Breda Groningen
Last 6 — all competitions · 4/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
100%
83%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
4,3
4,2
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
3,0
2,7
Goal diff per game
-1,8
-1,2
This season — Eredivisie · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 13%
0%
25%
Points per game
0,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 88%
100%
75%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
4,3
3,8
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
3,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,8
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%
12 Shots 8
7 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
1 Corners 1
2 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 11
5 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match NAC Breda 15. · Groningen 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 4 4 0 0 +9 12
2 AZ Alkmaar 5 4 0 1 +5 12
3 Heerenveen 5 3 2 0 +4 11
4 Vitesse 4 3 0 1 +7 9
5 Ajax 4 3 0 1 +6 9
6 Utrecht 4 3 0 1 +6 9
7 PSV Eindhoven 4 3 0 1 +4 9
8 VVV Venlo 4 2 1 1 +2 7
9 Zwolle 4 2 1 1 +1 7
10 Groningen 4 1 2 1 -1 5
11 Heracles 4 1 2 1 -1 5
12 Sparta Rotterdam 5 1 2 2 -4 5
13 Excelsior 5 1 1 3 -4 4
14 Den Haag 4 1 0 3 -5 3
15 NAC Breda 4 0 1 3 -7 1
16 Twente 4 0 0 4 -5 0
17 Roda 4 0 0 4 -8 0
18 Willem II 4 0 0 4 -9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

NAC Breda Groningen
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 J. Bacuna
↦ S. Memišević
1–0 R. Vloet
Angeliño
58′
2–0 R. Vloet
60′
Thierry Ambrose 🟨
62′
67′
🔁 L. Veldwijk
↦ A. Hrustic
67′
🔁 O. Idrissi
↦ T. van Weert
70′
M. Mahi 2–1
R. Jenssen
G. Korte 🔁
↦ T. Agyepong
71′
Karol Mets 🟨
75′
77′
🟨 Juninho Bacuna
R. Sprangers 🔁
↦ T. Ambrose
77′
82′
🟨 Todd Kane
Manu García 🟨
90′
Mark Birighitti 🟨
90′
Giovanni Korte 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Oussama Idrissi
J. Horsfield 🔁
↦ M. El Allouchi
92′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

NAC Breda

4-2-3-1
12 M. Birighitti G
3 M. Koch D
22 Pablo Marí D
69 Angeliño D
5 K. Mets D
10 R. Vloet M
6 A. Verschueren M
8 M. El Allouchi M
19 Manu García M
9 T. Ambrose F
20 T. Agyepong M
Bench (10)
7 G. Korte
45 R. Sprangers
35 J. Horsfield
1 A. Noppert
87 T. Enevoldsen
30 G. Nijholt
15 J. Stans
18 B. Meijers
28 D. Snepvangers
23 N. Bertrams

Coach: S. Vreven

Groningen

5-3-2
1 S. Padt G
6 E. Reijnen D
4 M. te Wierik D
2 T. Kane M
5 S. Memišević D
21 D. Warmerdam D
8 R. Jenssen M
17 Jesper Drost M
23 A. Hrustic M
19 T. van Weert F
10 M. Mahi M
Bench (9)
7 J. Bacuna
9 L. Veldwijk
11 O. Idrissi
39 A. Absalem
20 Y. van Nieff
32 A. El Ouazzane
25 R. Doan
16 K. Begois
14 C. Antuna

Coach: E. Faber

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Danny Desmond Makkelie · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.