Eredivisie
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Vitesse
PSV Eindhoven
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Feyenoord
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | +22 | 28 |
| 2 |
Ajax
|
10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +14 | 23 |
| 3 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +12 | 21 |
| 4 |
Heerenveen
|
9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +13 | 20 |
| 5 |
Twente
|
11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 18 |
| 6 |
Vitesse
|
10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 15 |
| 7 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +5 | 13 |
| 8 |
Sparta Rotterdam
|
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 12 |
| 9 |
Utrecht
|
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +0 | 11 |
| 10 |
Den Haag
|
10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -6 | 11 |
| 11 |
Excelsior
|
10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -7 | 10 |
| 12 |
Nijmegen
|
10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -7 | 10 |
| 13 |
Willem II
|
11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -8 | 10 |
| 14 |
Zwolle
|
10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -11 | 9 |
| 15 |
Heracles
|
10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -5 | 8 |
| 16 |
Go Ahead Eagles
|
10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -9 | 8 |
| 17 |
Roda
|
11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -11 | 8 |
| 18 |
Groningen
|
10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -9 | 6 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
M. Nakamba
M
M. Rashica
F
Coach: H. Fraser
R. Pasveer
G
Coach: P. Cocu
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Nijmegen
Vitesse
AZ Alkmaar
Vitesse
Vitesse
Groningen
Twente
Vitesse
Vitesse
Go Ahead Eagles
Bjorn Kuipers · 97 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.