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Eredivisie

Referee: Kevin Blom

AZ Alkmaar

S S S U T

2–0

Full-time

Nijmegen

T T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AZ Alkmaar Nijmegen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,8

2,5

Scored

2,7

1,0

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-0,5

This season — Eredivisie · 2/3 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

2,5

3,0

Scored

1,0

1,7

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

63% Possession 37%

16 Shots 3

5 Shots on target 1

2 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

8 Corners 6

7 Offside 1

17 Free kicks against 7

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match AZ Alkmaar 15. · Nijmegen 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	4	4	0	0	+11	12
2	PSV Eindhoven	4	3	1	0	+6	10
3	Den Haag	4	3	1	0	+5	10
4	Ajax	4	2	1	1	+4	7
5	Vitesse	4	2	1	1	+3	7
6	Twente	4	2	0	2	+0	6
7	Sparta Rotterdam	4	2	0	2	+0	6
8	Excelsior	4	2	0	2	-1	6
9	Heracles	4	1	2	1	+1	5
10	Nijmegen	3	1	2	0	+1	5
11	Heerenveen	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Willem II	4	1	1	2	-4	4
13	Roda	4	0	3	1	-1	3
14	Utrecht	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	AZ Alkmaar	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Go Ahead Eagles	4	0	1	3	-7	1
17	Groningen	4	0	1	3	-8	1
18	Zwolle	4	0	1	3	-8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Den Haag	2	1	1	0	+3	4
3	Nijmegen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	PSV Eindhoven	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Twente	2	1	0	1	+1	3
6	Heracles	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Excelsior	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Sparta Rotterdam	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	AZ Alkmaar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Ajax	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Vitesse	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Roda	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Go Ahead Eagles	2	0	1	1	-3	1
15	Willem II	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	Utrecht	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Groningen	2	0	0	2	-6	0
18	Zwolle	2	0	0	2	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Ajax	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Vitesse	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Den Haag	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Sparta Rotterdam	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Twente	2	1	0	1	-1	3
8	Willem II	2	1	0	1	-1	3
9	Excelsior	2	1	0	1	-2	3
10	Roda	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Heracles	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Nijmegen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Utrecht	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Heerenveen	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Zwolle	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Groningen	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	AZ Alkmaar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Go Ahead Eagles	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.