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Eredivisie
Referee: Martin Van den Kerkhof
2–2
Full-time
Nijmegen
S T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Go Ahead Eagles Nijmegen
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
0%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
0,0
0,8
Conceded
3,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-3,0
-0,8
This season — Eredivisie · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
0,0
1,0
Conceded
3,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-3,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

50% Possession 50%
8 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 7
0 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 5
2 Offside 2
18 Free kicks against 13
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Go Ahead Eagles 16. · Nijmegen 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Den Haag 2 2 0 0 +4 6
2 Excelsior 2 2 0 0 +3 6
3 Ajax 2 1 1 0 +2 4
4 Heracles 2 1 1 0 +2 4
5 Feyenoord 1 1 0 0 +5 3
6 Vitesse 2 1 0 1 +2 3
7 Sparta Rotterdam 2 1 0 1 +1 3
8 PSV Eindhoven 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Roda 2 0 2 0 +0 2
10 AZ Alkmaar 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Heerenveen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Nijmegen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Zwolle 2 0 1 1 -3 1
14 Twente 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Utrecht 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Go Ahead Eagles 1 0 0 1 -3 0
17 Willem II 2 0 0 2 -5 0
18 Groningen 2 0 0 2 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Go Ahead Eagles Nijmegen
16′
🟨 Janio Bikel
Sander Fischer 🟨
32′
34′
K. Mayi 0–1
Q. Owusu-Abeyie
Randy Wolters 🟨
44′
Half-time 1–1
1–1 S. Duits
R. Wolters
49′
Robin Van der Meer 🟨
53′
2–1 H. Ojamaa
J. Suk
58′
63′
🔁 J. Sleegers
↦ Q. Owusu-Abeyie
66′
K. Mayi 2–2
D. Dumić
N. Nieveld 🔁
↦ S. Duits
70′
72′
🔁 S. Lundholm
↦ R. Ofosu
J. Groenbast 🔁
↦ L. Lambooij
79′
T. Daemen 🔁
↦ L. de Kogel
84′
89′
🔁 M. Rayhi
↦ K. Mayi
Tom Daemen 🟨
90′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Go Ahead Eagles

4-3-3
1 T. Zwarthoed
3 S. Fischer D
2 L. Lambooij M
15 Robin van der Meer D
5 K. Teijsse D
21 K. Brands M
6 S. Duits M
8 J. Suk M
11 R. Wolters F
22 H. Ojamaa M
9 L. de Kogel F
Bench (11)
23 N. Nieveld
32 J. Groenbast
26 T. Daemen
7 E. van Overbeek
10 J. van Ewijk
13 E. Cummins
14 D. Maatsen
18 O. Džepar
19 S. Hendriks
20 T. ten Den
27 T. Dekker

Coach: H. de Koning

Nijmegen

4-3-3
1 J. Delle G
6 M. Dyrestam D
3 D. Dumić D
2 M. Heinloth D
4 W. Golla D
34 G. Breinburg M
19 J. von Haacke M
8 Janio Bikel M
21 Q. Owusu-Abeyie F
14 R. Ofosu F
18 K. Mayi F
Bench (10)
11 J. Sleegers
7 S. Lundholm
20 M. Rayhi
10 S. Mauk
15 R. Buwalda
16 F. Kadioglu
17 J. Grot
22 J. Smits
23 M. van Duin
37 J. Leiwakabessy

Coach: P. Hyballa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Martin Van den Kerkhof · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.