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Eredivisie

Referee: Danny Desmond Makkelie

Groningen

T T T T U

1–1

Full-time

Sparta Rotterdam

T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Groningen Sparta Rotterdam

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/4 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 71%

67%

75%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,8

3,0

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

2,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,8

+0,0

This season — Eredivisie · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

50%

75%

Both score Ø 38%

25%

50%

Average goals

3,5

3,0

Scored

0,8

1,5

Conceded

2,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

-2,0

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

54% Possession 46%

22 Shots 9

5 Shots on target 4

6 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

16 Corners 6

2 Offside 4

13 Free kicks against 13

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Groningen 18. · Sparta Rotterdam 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	5	5	0	0	+13	15
2	PSV Eindhoven	5	4	1	0	+10	13
3	Den Haag	5	3	1	1	+3	10
4	Excelsior	5	3	0	2	+1	9
5	Ajax	4	2	1	1	+4	7
6	Vitesse	4	2	1	1	+3	7
7	AZ Alkmaar	4	2	1	1	+3	7
8	Heerenveen	4	2	1	1	+2	7
9	Sparta Rotterdam	4	2	0	2	+0	6
10	Twente	5	2	0	3	-2	6
11	Heracles	5	1	2	2	-1	5
12	Nijmegen	5	1	2	2	-5	5
13	Willem II	5	1	1	3	-6	4
14	Roda	4	0	3	1	-1	3
15	Utrecht	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Zwolle	5	0	2	3	-8	2
17	Go Ahead Eagles	4	0	1	3	-7	1
18	Groningen	4	0	1	3	-8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	AZ Alkmaar	3	2	1	0	+4	7
3	Excelsior	3	2	0	1	+3	6
4	Heerenveen	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Den Haag	2	1	1	0	+3	4
6	PSV Eindhoven	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Nijmegen	3	1	1	1	-3	4
8	Twente	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Heracles	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Sparta Rotterdam	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Ajax	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Vitesse	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Roda	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Go Ahead Eagles	2	0	1	1	-3	1
15	Willem II	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	Zwolle	3	0	1	2	-7	1
17	Utrecht	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Groningen	2	0	0	2	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	3	3	0	0	+9	9
2	Feyenoord	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Ajax	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Vitesse	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Den Haag	3	2	0	1	+0	6
6	Sparta Rotterdam	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Excelsior	2	1	0	1	-2	3
8	Twente	3	1	0	2	-3	3
9	Willem II	3	1	0	2	-3	3
10	Utrecht	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Roda	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Heracles	3	0	2	1	-2	2
13	Heerenveen	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Zwolle	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Nijmegen	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Groningen	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	AZ Alkmaar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Go Ahead Eagles	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.