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Eredivisie

Referee: Pol van Boekel

Heracles

S U U U T

5–1

Full-time

Groningen

S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heracles Groningen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,5

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

2,7

2,3

Scored

1,5

1,7

Conceded

1,2

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,0

This season — Eredivisie · 31/33 matches

Win Ø 42%

42%

Points per game

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

48%

Both score Ø 52%

48%

55%

Average goals

2,7

2,6

Scored

1,4

1,2

Conceded

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

59% Possession 41%

39 Shots 11

15 Shots on target 3

9 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 9

12 Corners 5

17 Free kicks against 19

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Heracles 7. · Groningen 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	34	26	6	2	+56	84
2	Ajax	34	25	7	2	+60	82
3	Feyenoord	34	19	6	9	+22	63
4	AZ Alkmaar	34	18	5	11	+17	59
5	Groningen	33	14	8	11	-6	50
6	Zwolle	33	14	7	12	+4	49
7	Heracles	31	13	8	10	-1	47
8	Vitesse	34	12	10	12	+17	46
9	Nijmegen	34	13	7	14	-5	46
10	Utrecht	31	12	8	11	+5	44
11	Den Haag	34	10	13	11	-1	43
12	Twente	34	12	7	15	-15	43
13	Heerenveen	34	11	9	14	-15	42
14	Roda	34	8	10	16	-21	34
15	Excelsior	34	7	9	18	-26	30
16	Willem II	34	6	11	17	-18	29
17	De Graafschap	34	5	8	21	-27	23
18	Cambuur	34	3	9	22	-46	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	17	13	3	1	+37	42
2	PSV Eindhoven	17	13	3	1	+25	42
3	Feyenoord	17	11	3	3	+19	36
4	Nijmegen	17	11	2	4	+8	35
5	Zwolle	17	10	3	4	+9	33
6	Groningen	17	10	3	4	+6	33
7	AZ Alkmaar	17	10	2	5	+14	32
8	Twente	17	9	3	5	+6	30
9	Heracles	15	8	4	3	+4	28
10	Vitesse	17	7	4	6	+12	25
11	Utrecht	15	7	4	4	+3	25
12	Heerenveen	17	6	4	7	-5	22
13	Den Haag	17	4	8	5	-2	20
14	Excelsior	17	4	5	8	-10	17
15	De Graafschap	17	3	6	8	-6	15
16	Willem II	17	3	6	8	-7	15
17	Roda	17	3	6	8	-10	15
18	Cambuur	17	2	5	10	-20	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	17	13	3	1	+31	42
2	Ajax	17	12	4	1	+23	40
3	AZ Alkmaar	17	8	3	6	+3	27
4	Feyenoord	17	8	3	6	+3	27
5	Den Haag	17	6	5	6	+1	23
6	Vitesse	17	5	6	6	+5	21
7	Heerenveen	17	5	5	7	-10	20
8	Utrecht	16	5	4	7	+2	19
9	Heracles	16	5	4	7	-5	19
10	Roda	17	5	4	8	-11	19
11	Groningen	16	4	5	7	-12	17
12	Zwolle	16	4	4	8	-5	16
13	Willem II	17	3	5	9	-11	14
14	Excelsior	17	3	4	10	-16	13
15	Twente	17	3	4	10	-21	13
16	Nijmegen	17	2	5	10	-13	11
17	De Graafschap	17	2	2	13	-21	8
18	Cambuur	17	1	4	12	-26	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.