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Eredivisie
Referee: Jeroen Manschot
Cambuur
T U T T T
3–1
Full-time
Nijmegen
S S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cambuur Nijmegen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,7
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
2,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,7
+0,7
This season — Eredivisie · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 24%
0%
47%
Points per game
0,5
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
60%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,7
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
2,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,7
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

54% Possession 46%
9 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 3
2 Offside 2
0 Free kicks against 0
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cambuur 17. · Nijmegen 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 15 12 2 1 +34 38
2 Feyenoord 15 11 2 2 +21 35
3 PSV Eindhoven 15 10 4 1 +22 34
4 Heracles 14 8 2 4 +7 26
5 Groningen 15 7 4 4 +0 25
6 Vitesse 15 7 3 5 +14 24
7 Nijmegen 15 7 3 5 +4 24
8 Zwolle 14 6 4 4 +4 22
9 Heerenveen 16 5 5 6 -3 20
10 AZ Alkmaar 15 5 3 7 -4 18
11 Den Haag 16 3 8 5 -5 17
12 Excelsior 16 4 5 7 -8 17
13 Utrecht 13 4 4 5 -1 16
14 Willem II 16 3 6 7 -2 15
15 Roda 15 3 6 6 -15 15
16 Twente 15 2 4 9 -20 10
17 Cambuur 15 0 7 8 -26 7
18 De Graafschap 15 1 2 12 -22 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cambuur Nijmegen
1–0 B. Ogbeche
M. Peersman
20′
24′
X. Houtkoop 2–0
own goal
Erik Bakker 🟨
38′
Half-time 3–0
3–0 B. Ogbeche
X. Houtkoop
49′
52′
🟨 Rens Van Eijden
56′
🔁 M. Appiah
↦ J. Sleegers
3–1 C. Santos
own goal
66′
70′
🔁 M. Rayhi
↦ Janio Bikel
V. Berisha 🔁
↦ X. Houtkoop
72′
77′
🔁 S. Lundholm
↦ W. Golla
Full-time 3–1

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jeroen Manschot · 94 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
18,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.