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Eredivisie
Referee: Danny Desmond Makkelie
Cambuur
U U T U T
2–3
Full-time
De Graafschap
U T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cambuur De Graafschap
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,7
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,3
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
2,0
2,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,3
This season — Eredivisie · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,5
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
54%
69%
Both score Ø 62%
69%
54%
Average goals
3,7
3,2
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
2,7
2,5
Goal diff per game
-1,7
-1,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

67% Possession 33%
15 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 3
4 Offside 1
0 Free kicks against 0
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Cambuur 17. · De Graafschap 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 13 10 2 1 +29 32
2 Feyenoord 13 9 2 2 +16 29
3 PSV Eindhoven 13 8 4 1 +18 28
4 Heracles 13 8 2 3 +10 26
5 Nijmegen 13 7 2 4 +5 23
6 Vitesse 13 6 3 4 +14 21
7 Zwolle 12 6 3 3 +6 21
8 Groningen 13 6 3 4 -1 21
9 AZ Alkmaar 13 5 3 5 +0 18
10 Excelsior 13 4 4 5 -5 16
11 Heerenveen 13 3 5 5 -4 14
12 Roda 13 3 5 5 -12 14
13 Utrecht 12 3 4 5 -2 13
14 Den Haag 13 2 7 4 -5 13
15 Twente 13 2 3 8 -18 9
16 Willem II 13 1 5 7 -7 8
17 Cambuur 13 0 7 6 -22 7
18 De Graafschap 13 0 2 11 -22 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cambuur De Graafschap
7′
C. Peters 0–1
33′
🟨 Jeroen Tesselaar
35′
B. Straalman 0–2
B. Smeets
1–2 S. Overgoor
B. Ogbeche
43′
Half-time 1–2
S. Steblecki 🔁
↦ O. El Baad
46′
H. Zeinstra 🔁
↦ L. Nienhuis
46′
52′
🔁 K. Vida
↦ Y. El Jebli
1–3 N. Will
own goal
54′
55′
🟨 Robin Propper
X. Houtkoop 🔁
↦ B. Ogbeche
58′
Sebastian Steblecki 🟨
59′
80′
🔁 K. Tarfi
↦ B. Smeets
85′
🟨 Robin Propper
85′
🟥 Robin Propper
86′
🔁 L. Kaak
↦ A. Driver
Marvin Peersman 🟨
87′
88′
K. Tarfi 1–4
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Cambuur

22 L. Nienhuis G
4 V. Andriuškevičius D
23 M. Peersman D
3 W. Dammers D
41 O. El Baad D
8 S. Overgoor
6 E. Bakker M
20 S. van de Streek M
18 B. Ogbeche F
14 M. Rosheuvel M
9 M. Barto F
Bench (7)
24 S. Steblecki
26 H. Zeinstra
12 X. Houtkoop
10 J. Byrne
16 D. Anderson
35 J. Monteiro
45 R. Janzen

De Graafschap

1 H. Jurjus G
5 J. Tesselaar
4 T. van de Pavert D
19 N. Will D
3 R. Pröpper D
12 B. Straalman D
15 A. Driver M
14 B. Smeets M
20 Y. El Jebli M
13 C. Peters F
9 V. Vermeij F
Bench (7)
23 K. Vida
8 K. Tarfi
6 L. Kaak
11 E. Quekel
17 N. Kabasele
25 T. Cicek
41 E. Verstappen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Danny Desmond Makkelie · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.