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Eredivisie
Referee: Bas Nijhuis
Utrecht
T U U S
2–1
Full-time
Vitesse
U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Utrecht Vitesse
Last 6 — all competitions · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 38%
25%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
25%
50%
Both score Ø 63%
75%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,5
2,0
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,0
This season — Eredivisie · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 38%
25%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
25%
50%
Both score Ø 63%
75%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,5
2,0
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

39% Possession 61%
12 Shots 13
7 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 4
0 Offside 2
0 Free kicks against 0
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Utrecht 11. · Vitesse 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 5 4 1 0 +12 13
2 Heracles 5 4 0 1 +9 12
3 Feyenoord 5 4 0 1 +4 12
4 PSV Eindhoven 5 3 2 0 +10 11
5 Zwolle 5 3 2 0 +7 11
6 Roda 5 3 1 1 +1 10
7 Vitesse 4 2 1 1 +4 7
8 Groningen 5 2 1 2 +0 7
9 Nijmegen 5 2 1 2 -3 7
10 Heerenveen 5 1 3 1 +0 6
11 Utrecht 4 1 2 1 +1 5
12 Den Haag 5 1 2 2 -2 5
13 AZ Alkmaar 5 1 2 2 -2 5
14 Excelsior 5 1 1 3 -3 4
15 Willem II 5 0 2 3 -5 2
16 Twente 5 0 2 3 -6 2
17 Cambuur 5 0 1 4 -16 1
18 De Graafschap 5 0 0 5 -11 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Utrecht Vitesse
1–0 W. Janssen
B. Ramselaar
15′
19′
G. Kashia 1–1
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 S. Yeini
↦ V. Qazaishvili
2–1 B. Ramselaar
51′
58′
🔁 D. Solanke
↦ A. Dauda
R. Rubin 🔁
↦ S. Haller
65′
R. Leeuwin 🔁
↦ S. Klaiber
71′
75′
🔁 D. Pantić
↦ Nathan
A. Ludwig 🔁
↦ R. Strieder
85′
Andreas Ludwig 🟨
90′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Utrecht

1 R. Ruiter G
2 M. van der Maarel D
20 L. Nganioni D
14 T. Letschert D
8 W. Janssen D
6 Y. Ayoub M
7 R. Strieder M
17 S. Klaiber D
23 B. Ramselaar M
10 N. Barazite M
22 S. Haller F
Bench (7)
18 R. Rubin
3 R. Leeuwin
11 A. Ludwig
5 C. Kum
15 M. Diemers
16 F. Bednarek
21 K. Peterson

Vitesse

1 E. Room G
6 A. Kruiswijk D
37 G. Kashia D
17 K. Diks D
11 D. Oliynyk M
34 L. Baker M
26 M. Rashica F
18 M. Nakamba M
13 Nathan M
14 A. Dauda F
10 V. Qazaishvili M
Bench (7)
21 S. Yeini
9 D. Solanke
20 D. Pantić
3 M. van der Werff
7 I. Brown
22 P. Velthuizen
35 R. Achenteh

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Bas Nijhuis · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
15,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.