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La Liga
Referee: Jesus Gil Manzano
Granada
T S
1–3
Full-time
Villarreal
U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Granada Villarreal
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
3,5
3,0
Scored
1,5
2,0
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,0
This season — La Liga · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
3,5
3,0
Scored
1,5
2,0
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%
13 Shots 8
2 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
8 Corners 6
0 Offside 6
0 Free kicks against 0
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Granada 9. · Villarreal 7. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 3 3 0 0 +3 9
2 Real Madrid 3 2 1 0 +11 7
3 Celta 2 2 0 0 +4 6
4 Eibar 2 2 0 0 +4 6
5 Ath Madrid 3 2 0 1 +3 6
6 Valencia 3 1 2 0 +1 5
7 Villarreal 2 1 1 0 +2 4
8 Betis 3 1 1 1 -4 4
9 Granada 2 1 0 1 -1 3
10 Espanol 3 1 0 2 -7 3
11 La Coruna 2 0 2 0 +0 2
12 Levante 3 0 2 1 -1 2
13 Sociedad 3 0 2 1 -1 2
14 Sp Gijon 3 0 2 1 -1 2
15 Sevilla 3 0 2 1 -3 2
16 Malaga 2 0 1 1 -1 1
17 Las Palmas 2 0 1 1 -1 1
18 Vallecano 2 0 1 1 -3 1
19 Getafe 2 0 0 2 -2 0
20 Ath Bilbao 2 0 0 2 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Granada Villarreal
Jean-Sylvain Babin 🟨
11′
14′
🟨 Tomás Pina
Fran Rico 🔁
↦ Rubén Pérez
22′
Half-time 0–1
49′
⚽ Trigueros 0–1
Samu Castillejo
51′
⚽ C. Bakambu 0–2
Trigueros
59′
🔁 Denis Suárez
↦ N. Leiva
Robert Ibañez 🔁
↦ Javi Márquez
64′
Miguel Lopes 🟨
65′
67′
🟨 Roberto Soldado
67′
🔁 Samu
↦ Samu Castillejo
T. Bifouma 🔁
↦ Miguel Lopes
73′
1–2 Fran Rico ⚽
74′
80′
🔁 Adrián
↦ C. Bakambu
81′
🟨 Eric Bailly
90′
🟨 Alphonse Aréola
91′
⚽ Samu 1–3
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Granada

13 Andrés Fernández G
2 Lombán D
25 Miguel Lopes D
6 J. Babin D
3 C. Biraghi D
8 Javi Márquez M
21 R. Krhin M
20 Rubén Pérez M
9 Y. El-Arabi F
23 Rubén Rochina M
11 I. Success F
Bench (7)
4 Fran Rico
7 Robert Ibañez
16 T. Bifouma
1 I. Kelava
5 Mainz
22 D. Foulquier
15 N. López

Villarreal

13 A. Areola G
2 Mario Gaspar D
11 Jaume Costa D
6 Víctor Ruíz D
24 E. Bailly D
4 Tomás Pina M
14 Trigueros M
19 Samu Castillejo M
9 Soldado F
17 C. Bakambu F
26 N. Leiva M
Bench (7)
18 Denis Suárez
7 Samu
20 Adrián
22 A. Rukavina
25 M. Barbosa
8 J. dos Santos
10 Léo Baptistão

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Jesus Gil Manzano · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.