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Eredivisie

Referee: Allard Lindhout

Vitesse

U S T

4–1

Full-time

Cambuur

U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vitesse Cambuur

Last 6 — all competitions · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,3

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,3

4,3

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

1,0

3,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-2,3

This season — Eredivisie · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,3

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,3

4,3

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

1,0

3,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-2,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

46% Possession 54%

17 Shots 5

7 Shots on target 1

4 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

8 Corners 2

4 Offside 0

0 Free kicks against 0

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Vitesse 11. · Cambuur 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	4	4	0	0	+12	12
2	Heracles	4	3	0	1	+8	9
3	Feyenoord	3	3	0	0	+5	9
4	Zwolle	4	2	2	0	+4	8
5	Heerenveen	4	1	3	0	+2	6
6	Roda	3	2	0	1	+0	6
7	Nijmegen	4	2	0	2	-3	6
8	PSV Eindhoven	3	1	2	0	+2	5
9	Utrecht	4	1	2	1	+1	5
10	Den Haag	4	1	2	1	-1	5
11	Vitesse	3	1	1	1	+1	4
12	Excelsior	4	1	1	2	+0	4
13	Groningen	4	1	1	2	-2	4
14	AZ Alkmaar	3	0	2	1	-3	2
15	Willem II	4	0	2	2	-4	2
16	Twente	4	0	1	3	-6	1
17	Cambuur	3	0	1	2	-7	1
18	De Graafschap	4	0	0	4	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	2	2	0	0	+7	6
2	Heracles	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Feyenoord	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Roda	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Heerenveen	3	1	2	0	+2	5
6	Excelsior	2	1	1	0	+3	4
7	Groningen	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Utrecht	2	1	1	0	+2	4
9	Zwolle	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Vitesse	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Nijmegen	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Den Haag	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Willem II	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	AZ Alkmaar	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	Twente	1	0	0	1	-3	0
17	De Graafschap	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Cambuur	2	0	0	2	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Zwolle	2	1	1	0	+3	4
3	Heracles	2	1	0	1	+3	3
4	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Den Haag	2	1	0	1	-1	3
6	Nijmegen	2	1	0	1	-2	3
7	PSV Eindhoven	2	0	2	0	+0	2
8	Cambuur	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	AZ Alkmaar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Heerenveen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Utrecht	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Vitesse	2	0	1	1	-2	1
13	Twente	3	0	1	2	-3	1
14	Willem II	2	0	1	1	-3	1
15	Excelsior	2	0	0	2	-3	0
16	Roda	1	0	0	1	-3	0
17	Groningen	2	0	0	2	-4	0
18	De Graafschap	3	0	0	3	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.