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Serie A
Referee: Claudio Gavillucci
2–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Palermo Carpi
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
1,0
5,0
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
0,0
3,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-2,0
This season — Serie A · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
1,0
5,0
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
0,0
3,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

65% Possession 35%
13 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 3
1 Offside 5
0 Free kicks against 0
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Palermo 6. · Carpi 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Chievo 3 2 1 0 +6 7
2 Torino 3 2 1 0 +3 7
3 Roma 3 2 1 0 +3 7
4 Sassuolo 2 2 0 0 +2 6
5 Inter 2 2 0 0 +2 6
6 Palermo 2 2 0 0 +2 6
7 Fiorentina 3 2 0 1 +1 6
8 Sampdoria 2 1 1 0 +3 4
9 Atalanta 2 1 0 1 +1 3
10 Genoa 3 1 0 2 +0 3
11 Udinese 2 1 0 1 +0 3
12 Milan 2 1 0 1 -1 3
13 Lazio 2 1 0 1 -3 3
14 Verona 3 0 2 1 -2 2
15 Napoli 2 0 1 1 -1 1
16 Juventus 3 0 1 2 -2 1
17 Bologna 2 0 0 2 -2 0
18 Empoli 2 0 0 2 -3 0
19 Carpi 2 0 0 2 -4 0
20 Frosinone 3 0 0 3 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Claudio Gavillucci · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.