Gamealyst.com

← Match Finder

Premier League

Referee: Mike Dean

Leicester

S S U U

3–2

Full-time

Aston Villa

S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Leicester Aston Villa

Last 6 — all competitions · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 38%

50%

25%

Points per game

2,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

3,3

2,3

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,3

This season — Premier League · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 38%

50%

25%

Points per game

2,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

3,3

2,3

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

48% Possession 52%

21 Shots 11

6 Shots on target 4

6 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 5

1 Offside 1

0 Free kicks against 0

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Leicester 6. · Aston Villa 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	5	5	0	0	+11	15
2	Man United	5	3	1	1	+3	10
3	Arsenal	5	3	1	1	+2	10
4	Crystal Palace	5	3	0	2	+2	9
5	Everton	5	2	2	1	+3	8
6	Leicester	4	2	2	0	+3	8
7	Swansea	5	2	2	1	+2	8
8	Norwich	5	2	1	2	-1	7
9	Liverpool	5	2	1	2	-3	7
10	West Ham	4	2	0	2	+3	6
11	Southampton	5	1	3	1	+0	6
12	Tottenham	5	1	3	1	+0	6
13	Watford	5	1	3	1	-1	6
14	West Brom	5	1	2	2	-3	5
15	Aston Villa	4	1	1	2	-1	4
16	Bournemouth	5	1	1	3	-3	4
17	Chelsea	5	1	1	3	-5	4
18	Newcastle	4	0	2	2	-3	2
19	Stoke	5	0	2	3	-4	2
20	Sunderland	5	0	2	3	-5	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man United	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Man City	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Swansea	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Watford	3	1	2	0	+1	5
5	Leicester	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Everton	3	1	1	1	+0	4
7	Norwich	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Arsenal	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Southampton	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Crystal Palace	3	1	0	2	-1	3
11	Liverpool	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	Tottenham	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Chelsea	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Newcastle	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Aston Villa	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Bournemouth	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Sunderland	3	0	1	2	-3	1
18	West Brom	3	0	1	2	-4	1
19	West Ham	2	0	0	2	-2	0
20	Stoke	2	0	0	2	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	West Ham	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Crystal Palace	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Arsenal	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Everton	2	1	1	0	+3	4
6	Leicester	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	West Brom	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Tottenham	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Liverpool	3	1	1	1	-1	4
10	Aston Villa	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Southampton	3	0	3	0	+0	3
12	Man United	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Norwich	2	1	0	1	-1	3
14	Bournemouth	3	1	0	2	-2	3
15	Chelsea	3	1	0	2	-4	3
16	Swansea	3	0	2	1	-1	2
17	Stoke	3	0	2	1	-2	2
18	Sunderland	2	0	1	1	-2	1
19	Watford	2	0	1	1	-2	1
20	Newcastle	2	0	1	1	-2	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.