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La Liga
Referee: Javier Estrada Fernandez
Celta
S S
3–3
Full-time
Las Palmas
T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celta Las Palmas
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
3,0
0,5
Scored
2,5
0,0
Conceded
0,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
+2,0
-0,5
This season — La Liga · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
3,0
0,5
Scored
2,5
0,0
Conceded
0,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
+2,0
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

67% Possession 33%
25 Shots 9
12 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 9
7 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
0 Free kicks against 0
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Celta 4. · Las Palmas 18. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 3 3 0 0 +3 9
2 Real Madrid 3 2 1 0 +11 7
3 Villarreal 3 2 1 0 +4 7
4 Celta 2 2 0 0 +4 6
5 Eibar 2 2 0 0 +4 6
6 Ath Madrid 3 2 0 1 +3 6
7 Valencia 3 1 2 0 +1 5
8 Betis 3 1 1 1 -4 4
9 Ath Bilbao 3 1 0 2 -1 3
10 Granada 3 1 0 2 -3 3
11 Espanol 3 1 0 2 -7 3
12 La Coruna 2 0 2 0 +0 2
13 Levante 3 0 2 1 -1 2
14 Sociedad 3 0 2 1 -1 2
15 Sp Gijon 3 0 2 1 -1 2
16 Sevilla 3 0 2 1 -3 2
17 Malaga 2 0 1 1 -1 1
18 Las Palmas 2 0 1 1 -1 1
19 Vallecano 2 0 1 1 -3 1
20 Getafe 3 0 0 3 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Celta Las Palmas
11′
🟥 Javi Varas
13′
🔁 Raúl Lizoáin
↦ Willian José
1–0 F. Orellana ⚽
13′
2–0 D. Wass ⚽
18′
23′
⚽ S. Araújo 2–1
David Simón
Half-time 3–1
3–1 Nolito ⚽
Iago Aspas
48′
57′
🟨 Antolín Alcaraz
57′
🔁 Aythami Artiles
↦ Roque Mesa
61′
⚽ S. Araújo 3–2
A. Alcáraz
J. Guidetti 🔁
↦ P. Hernández
66′
74′
⚽ David Simón 3–3
E. Culio
T. Bongonda 🔁
↦ Hugo Mallo
84′
86′
🔁 W. Mubarak
↦ Jonathan Viera
90′
🟨 Sergio Araujo
90′
🟨 Aythami Artiles
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Celta

1 Sergio Álvarez G
22 G. Cabral D
2 Hugo Mallo D
3 Fontàs D
19 Jonny Castro D
24 A. Fernández M
14 F. Orellana M
18 D. Wass M
8 P. Hernández M
9 Iago Aspas F
10 Nolito F
Bench (7)
11 J. Guidetti
7 T. Bongonda
6 N. Radoja
16 D. Dražić
20 Sergi Gómez
21 Planas
26 Néstor Díaz

Las Palmas

13 Javi Varas
3 A. Alcáraz D
23 Dani Castellano D
17 Pedro Bigas D
2 David Simón D
19 E. Culio M
14 Hernán M
15 Roque Mesa M
8 Willian José F
10 S. Araújo M
20 Jonathan Viera M
Bench (7)
1 Raúl Lizoáin
16 Aythami Artiles
12 W. Mubarak
4 Vicente Gómez
5 David García
21 Valerón
25 N. El Zhar

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Javier Estrada Fernandez · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.