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Eredivisie
Referee: Eric Braamhaar
Feyenoord
S S S T
1–0
Full-time
Willem II
U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Feyenoord Willem II
Last 6 — all competitions · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 38%
75%
0%
Points per game
2,3
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
50%
25%
Both score Ø 38%
50%
25%
Average goals
3,3
1,5
Scored
2,0
0,3
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-1,0
This season — Eredivisie · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 38%
75%
0%
Points per game
2,3
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
50%
25%
Both score Ø 38%
50%
25%
Average goals
3,3
1,5
Scored
2,0
0,3
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%
22 Shots 2
7 Shots on target 1
8 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
4 Corners 2
2 Offside 4
0 Free kicks against 0
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Feyenoord 6. · Willem II 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 5 4 1 0 +12 13
2 PSV Eindhoven 5 3 2 0 +10 11
3 Zwolle 5 3 2 0 +7 11
4 Roda 5 3 1 1 +1 10
5 Heracles 4 3 0 1 +8 9
6 Feyenoord 4 3 0 1 +3 9
7 Vitesse 4 2 1 1 +4 7
8 Groningen 5 2 1 2 +0 7
9 Nijmegen 5 2 1 2 -3 7
10 Heerenveen 5 1 3 1 +0 6
11 Utrecht 4 1 2 1 +1 5
12 Den Haag 4 1 2 1 -1 5
13 AZ Alkmaar 5 1 2 2 -2 5
14 Excelsior 5 1 1 3 -3 4
15 Willem II 4 0 2 2 -4 2
16 Twente 5 0 2 3 -6 2
17 Cambuur 5 0 1 4 -16 1
18 De Graafschap 5 0 0 5 -11 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Feyenoord Willem II
20′
🔁 R. Haemhouts
↦ R. Zivkovic
Half-time 0–0
C. Kazim-Richards 🔁
↦ M. Kramer
55′
Terence Kongolo 🟨
56′
E. Elia 🔁
↦ B. Basaçikoglu
63′
64′
🔁 R. Ligeon
↦ L. de Sa
1–0 E. Elia
R. Karsdorp
68′
69′
🟨 Dico Koppers
77′
🟨 Frank van der Struijk
82′
🔁 R. Braber
↦ N. van der Velden
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Feyenoord

1 K. Vermeer G
6 J. van der Heijden D
4 T. Kongolo D
3 S. van Beek D
2 R. Karsdorp D
8 K. El Ahmadi M
5 M. Vejinovic M
28 J. Toornstra M
14 B. Basaçikoglu M
7 D. Kuijt M
31 M. Kramer F
Bench (7)
9 C. Kazim-Richards
11 E. Elia
10 L. Immers
16 W. Hahn
18 M. Nelom
21 T. Vilhena
24 C. Verdonk

Willem II

1 K. Lamprou G
20 F. van der Struijk
4 J. Peters D
5 D. Koppers D
15 D. Wuytens D
23 N. van der Velden
10 E. Falkenburg F
29 S. Wuytens D
6 F. Ojo M
19 L. de Sa F
9 R. Zivkovic F
Bench (7)
8 R. Haemhouts
2 R. Ligeon
17 R. Braber
18 L. Andersen
21 D. Meul
37 A. Nemec
24 G. Joppen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.