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Primeira Liga

Referee: Nuno Miguel Serrano Almeida

Moreirense

T T T

0–0

Full-time

U. Madeira

S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Moreirense U. Madeira

Last 6 — all competitions · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

3,0

1,3

Scored

0,7

Conceded

2,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

-1,7

+0,0

This season — Primeira Liga · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

3,0

1,3

Scored

0,7

Conceded

2,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

-1,7

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0 Free kicks against 0

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Moreirense 17. · U. Madeira 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	4	3	1	0	+7	10
2	Benfica	4	3	0	1	+10	9
3	Sp Lisbon	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Arouca	4	2	1	1	+1	7
5	Sp Braga	4	2	0	2	+3	6
6	Estoril	4	2	0	2	-3	6
7	Vitoria Setubal	3	1	2	0	+4	5
8	Rio Ave	3	1	2	0	+1	5
9	Pacos Ferreira	3	1	2	0	+1	5
10	U. Madeira	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Boavista	3	1	1	1	-3	4
12	Tondela	3	1	0	2	-1	3
13	Nacional	3	1	0	2	-1	3
14	Belenenses	4	0	3	1	-6	3
15	Maritimo	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Guimaraes	3	0	2	1	-3	2
17	Moreirense	3	0	0	3	-5	0
18	Academica	3	0	0	3	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	3	3	0	0	+11	9
2	Sp Braga	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Porto	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Estoril	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	U. Madeira	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Pacos Ferreira	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Rio Ave	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Boavista	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Nacional	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Tondela	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Arouca	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Belenenses	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Vitoria Setubal	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Sp Lisbon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Maritimo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Guimaraes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Moreirense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Academica	2	0	0	2	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Porto	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Arouca	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Vitoria Setubal	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Rio Ave	2	0	2	0	+0	2
6	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Maritimo	2	0	1	1	-1	1
8	Guimaraes	2	0	1	1	-3	1
9	Boavista	2	0	1	1	-4	1
10	Belenenses	2	0	1	1	-6	1
11	Academica	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Tondela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	U. Madeira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Benfica	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Nacional	2	0	0	2	-2	0
16	Sp Braga	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Moreirense	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Estoril	2	0	0	2	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.