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Eredivisie
Referee: Richard Liesveld
Utrecht
T U U
2–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Utrecht Groningen
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
33%
0%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
This season — Eredivisie · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
33%
0%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%
12 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 1
0 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 2
0 Offside 2
0 Free kicks against 0
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Utrecht 12. · Groningen 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 3 3 0 0 +8 9
2 Feyenoord 3 3 0 0 +5 9
3 Zwolle 3 2 1 0 +4 7
4 Heracles 3 2 0 1 +6 6
5 Roda 3 2 0 1 +0 6
6 Nijmegen 4 2 0 2 -3 6
7 Den Haag 3 1 2 0 +3 5
8 PSV Eindhoven 3 1 2 0 +2 5
9 Heerenveen 3 1 2 0 +2 5
10 Vitesse 3 1 1 1 +1 4
11 Groningen 3 1 1 1 +0 4
12 Utrecht 3 0 2 1 -1 2
13 AZ Alkmaar 3 0 2 1 -3 2
14 Willem II 4 0 2 2 -4 2
15 Excelsior 3 0 1 2 -3 1
16 Twente 3 0 1 2 -4 1
17 Cambuur 3 0 1 2 -7 1
18 De Graafschap 3 0 0 3 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Utrecht Groningen
1–0 B. Ramselaar
S. Klaiber
29′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 D. Hoesen
↦ L. Burnet
46′
🔁 H. Maduro
↦ S. Tibbling
R. Rubin 🔁
↦ N. Barazite
72′
Sean Klaiber 🟨
75′
75′
🔁 M. Mahi
↦ B. Linssen
A. Ludwig 🔁
↦ B. Ramselaar
79′
R. Leeuwin 🔁
↦ S. Klaiber
80′
83′
🟨 Jesper Drost
90′
🟨 Jarchinio Antonia
2–0 T. Letschert
S. Haller
94′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Utrecht

1 R. Ruiter G
2 M. van der Maarel D
20 L. Nganioni D
14 T. Letschert D
8 W. Janssen D
6 Y. Ayoub M
7 R. Strieder M
17 S. Klaiber D
23 B. Ramselaar M
10 N. Barazite M
22 S. Haller F
Bench (7)
18 R. Rubin
11 A. Ludwig
3 R. Leeuwin
38 D. Rosheuvel
16 F. Bednarek
21 K. Peterson
15 M. Diemers

Groningen

1 S. Padt G
6 E. Reijnen D
5 L. Burnet D
2 J. Kappelhof D
33 H. Hateboer M
24 T. Hiariej M
8 M. de Leeuw M
17 Jesper Drost M
22 S. Tibbling M
11 B. Linssen F
7 J. Antonia F
Bench (7)
9 D. Hoesen
23 H. Maduro
14 M. Mahi
38 J. Bacuna
26 P. van der Vlag
10 A. Rusnák
3 K. Larsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Richard Liesveld · 27 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
7,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.