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Eredivisie

Referee: Serdar Gozubuyuk

Groningen

U T S T

3–1

Full-time

Heerenveen

S U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Groningen Heerenveen

Last 6 — all competitions · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 25%

25%

Points per game

1,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 13%

25%

Both score Ø 63%

25%

100%

Average goals

2,0

2,5

Scored

0,8

1,5

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,5

This season — Eredivisie · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 25%

25%

Points per game

1,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 13%

25%

Both score Ø 63%

25%

100%

Average goals

2,0

2,5

Scored

0,8

1,5

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

49% Possession 51%

22 Shots 9

9 Shots on target 3

8 Blocked shots 5

2 Goalkeeper saves 6

6 Corners 4

5 Offside 2

0 Free kicks against 0

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Groningen 13. · Heerenveen 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	5	4	1	0	+12	13
2	PSV Eindhoven	5	3	2	0	+10	11
3	Zwolle	5	3	2	0	+7	11
4	Roda	5	3	1	1	+1	10
5	Heracles	4	3	0	1	+8	9
6	Feyenoord	4	3	0	1	+3	9
7	Vitesse	4	2	1	1	+4	7
8	Nijmegen	5	2	1	2	-3	7
9	Heerenveen	4	1	3	0	+2	6
10	Utrecht	4	1	2	1	+1	5
11	Den Haag	4	1	2	1	-1	5
12	AZ Alkmaar	5	1	2	2	-2	5
13	Groningen	4	1	1	2	-2	4
14	Excelsior	5	1	1	3	-3	4
15	Willem II	4	0	2	2	-4	2
16	Twente	5	0	2	3	-6	2
17	Cambuur	5	0	1	4	-16	1
18	De Graafschap	5	0	0	5	-11	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Zwolle	3	2	1	0	+4	7
2	Roda	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Ajax	2	2	0	0	+7	6
4	Vitesse	2	2	0	0	+6	6
5	Heracles	2	2	0	0	+5	6
6	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+4	6
7	Feyenoord	2	2	0	0	+3	6
8	Heerenveen	3	1	2	0	+2	5
9	Excelsior	2	1	1	0	+3	4
10	Groningen	2	1	1	0	+2	4
11	Utrecht	2	1	1	0	+2	4
12	Nijmegen	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Den Haag	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Willem II	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Twente	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	AZ Alkmaar	3	0	1	2	-4	1
17	De Graafschap	2	0	0	2	-5	0
18	Cambuur	3	0	0	3	-13	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	3	2	1	0	+5	7
2	PSV Eindhoven	3	1	2	0	+6	5
3	Zwolle	2	1	1	0	+3	4
4	AZ Alkmaar	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Nijmegen	3	1	1	1	-2	4
6	Heracles	2	1	0	1	+3	3
7	Feyenoord	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Den Haag	2	1	0	1	-1	3
9	Roda	2	1	0	1	-2	3
10	Heerenveen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Utrecht	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Vitesse	2	0	1	1	-2	1
13	Cambuur	2	0	1	1	-3	1
14	Twente	3	0	1	2	-3	1
15	Willem II	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	Groningen	2	0	0	2	-4	0
17	De Graafschap	3	0	0	3	-6	0
18	Excelsior	3	0	0	3	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.