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Ligue 1
Referee: Brisard Jerome
Paris SG
U S S U U
0–2
Full-time
Rennes
U T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris SG Rennes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 92%
83%
100%
Average goals
3,7
2,5
Scored
2,5
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,2
This season — Ligue 1 · 36/36 matches
Win Ø 62%
81%
42%
Points per game
2,6
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
75%
47%
Both score Ø 57%
53%
61%
Average goals
3,8
2,5
Scored
3,0
1,3
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+2,3
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

62% Possession 38%
14 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 4
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 7
2 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Paris SG 1. · Rennes 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 36 29 5 2 +81 92
2 Lyon 36 22 9 5 +44 75
3 Monaco 36 22 8 6 +36 74
4 Marseille 37 21 11 5 +32 74
5 Rennes 36 15 9 12 +4 54
6 St Etienne 36 14 10 12 -7 52
7 Nice 36 14 9 13 -1 51
8 Montpellier 36 11 16 9 +3 49
9 Bordeaux 36 14 7 15 -1 49
10 Guingamp 37 12 11 14 -10 47
11 Nantes 36 12 10 14 -8 46
12 Dijon 36 12 9 15 -18 45
13 Amiens 36 11 9 16 -6 42
14 Angers 36 9 14 13 -7 41
15 Caen 36 10 7 19 -22 37
16 Lille 36 9 8 19 -22 35
17 Strasbourg 36 8 11 17 -23 35
18 Toulouse 36 8 10 18 -15 34
19 Troyes 36 9 5 22 -24 32
20 Metz 36 6 8 22 -36 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Paris SG Rennes
Half-time 0–0
Presnel Kimpembe 🟨
48′
52′
B. Bourigeaud 0–1
J. Draxler 🔁
↦ C. Nkunku
61′
A. Rabiot 🔁
↦ L. Diarra
62′
71′
A. Hunou 0–2
J. Gelin
74′
🔁 I. Sarr
↦ H. Traoré
J. Pastore 🔁
↦ T. Motta
77′
91′
🔁 F. Maouassa
↦ S. Prcić
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Paris SG

4-3-3
1 K. Trapp G
17 Yuri D
12 T. Meunier D
5 Marquinhos D
3 P. Kimpembe D
19 L. Diarra M
8 T. Motta M
11 Á. Di María F
24 C. Nkunku M
18 G. Lo Celso M
29 K. Mbappé F
Bench (7)
23 J. Draxler
25 A. Rabiot
27 J. Pastore
37 T. Weah
33 K. Rimane
16 A. Areola
20 L. Kurzawa

Coach: Unai Emery

Rennes

4-1-4-1
40 T. Koubek G
2 M. Zeffane D
27 H. Traoré D
26 J. Gelin D
15 R. Bensebaini D
5 J. Gnagnon D
21 B. André M
10 S. Prcić M
14 B. Bourigeaud M
23 A. Hunou M
12 J. Lea Siliki M
Bench (7)
7 I. Sarr
17 F. Maouassa
33 A. Lauriente
1 A. Diallo
4 Mexer
28 Y. Gourcuff
29 R. Danzé

Coach: S. Lamouchi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Brisard Jerome · 32 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.