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Ligue 1
Referee: Frank Schneider
Paris SG
U S S S S
2–0
Full-time
Angers
U T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris SG Angers
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,2
1,7
Scored
1,8
0,8
Conceded
0,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,0
This season — Ligue 1 · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 54%
71%
36%
Points per game
2,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
50%
36%
Both score Ø 40%
29%
50%
Average goals
2,6
1,9
Scored
2,0
0,9
Conceded
0,6
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,4
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

60% Possession 40%
14 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
10 Corners 4
9 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Paris SG 3. · Angers 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Nice 15 11 3 1 +17 36
2 Monaco 15 10 3 2 +28 33
3 Paris SG 14 10 2 2 +20 32
4 Lyon 15 8 1 6 +10 25
5 Bordeaux 15 6 6 3 +3 24
6 Rennes 15 7 3 5 -3 24
7 Guingamp 15 6 5 4 +4 23
8 Toulouse 15 6 4 5 +5 22
9 St Etienne 15 5 7 3 +4 22
10 Angers 14 5 3 6 -1 18
11 Marseille 15 4 6 5 -4 18
12 Metz 15 5 3 7 -13 18
13 Nancy 15 4 4 7 -7 16
14 Montpellier 15 3 7 5 -8 16
15 Dijon 15 3 6 6 -3 15
16 Bastia 15 3 5 7 -3 14
17 Lille 15 4 2 9 -7 14
18 Caen 15 4 2 9 -14 14
19 Nantes 15 3 4 8 -15 13
20 Lorient 15 3 2 10 -13 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Paris SG Angers
1–0 Thiago Silva
Lucas Moura
34′
Half-time 1–0
Jesé 🔁
↦ J. Ikone
58′
2–0 E. Cavani
66′
Edinson Cavani 🟨
67′
68′
🔁 T. Mangani
↦ P. Martinez
68′
🔁 F. Diedhiou
↦ N. Pepe
75′
🔁 G. Sunu
↦ I. Traoré
J. Augustin 🔁
↦ E. Cavani
76′
80′
🟨 Famara Diédhiou
Grzegorz Krychowiak 🟨
84′
L. Callegari 🔁
↦ Lucas Moura
87′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Paris SG

4-2-3-1
16 A. Areola G
17 Maxwell D
2 Thiago Silva D
12 T. Meunier D
3 P. Kimpembe D
21 H. Ben Arfa F
8 T. Motta M
4 G. Krychowiak M
7 Lucas Moura M
36 J. Ikone M
9 E. Cavani F
Bench (7)
22 Jesé
29 J. Augustin
34 L. Callegari
1 K. Trapp
5 Marquinhos
11 Á. di María
19 S. Aurier

Coach: Unai Emery

Angers

5-3-2
16 M. Michel G
4 M. Pavlović D
24 R. Thomas D
8 I. Traoré D
29 V. Manceau D
21 P. Martinez D
23 J. Saihi M
15 P. Capelle M
17 C. N'Doye M
7 K. Toko Ekambi F
19 N. Pepe M
Bench (7)
5 T. Mangani
9 F. Diedhiou
10 G. Sunu
1 D. Petric
18 B. Santamaria
20 F. Tait
26 M. Tahrat

Coach: S. Moulin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Frank Schneider · 62 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
19,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.