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Eliteserien
Referee: C Moen
Sarpsborg 08
S S T S T
1–2
Full-time
Molde
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sarpsborg 08 Molde
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,5
2,8
Scored
2,5
2,0
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+1,2
This season — Eliteserien · 7/8 matches
Win Ø 53%
43%
63%
Points per game
1,4
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
43%
63%
Both score Ø 54%
57%
50%
Average goals
2,9
2,9
Scored
1,6
1,9
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

61% Possession 39%
16 Shots 17
6 Shots on target 8
2 Blocked shots 3
6 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 4
0 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 5
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sarpsborg 08 8. · Molde 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lillestrom 9 7 2 0 +14 23
2 Viking 10 6 3 1 +11 21
3 Molde 8 5 1 2 +7 16
4 Stromsgodset 9 4 2 3 +0 14
5 Aalesund 9 4 2 3 -1 14
6 Bodo/Glimt 8 3 4 1 +6 13
7 Rosenborg 8 2 5 1 +1 11
8 Sarpsborg 08 7 3 1 3 +2 10
9 Tromso 8 2 4 2 -3 10
10 Valerenga 9 3 1 5 -5 10
11 Ham-Kam 8 1 6 1 +2 9
12 Sandefjord 8 3 0 5 -4 9
13 Odd 9 3 0 6 -7 9
14 Haugesund 9 2 1 6 -6 7
15 Jerv 8 2 1 5 -8 7
16 Kristiansund 7 0 1 6 -9 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sarpsborg 08 Molde
36′
🔁 D. Fofana
↦ R. Zekhnini
Half-time 0–1
51′
M. Grødem 0–1
M. Eikrem
1–1 T. Heintz
66′
69′
D. Fofana 1–2
J. Karlstrøm
G. Molins 🔁
↦ S. Skålevik
71′
M. Ødegaard 🔁
↦ A. Skipper
72′
79′
🔁 E. Knudtzon
↦ M. Bjørnbak
83′
🟨 Jakob Karlstrom
92′
🔁 J. Bakke
↦ E. Breivik
92′
🔁 N. Ødegård
↦ M. Eikrem
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Sarpsborg 08

4-2-3-1
1 S. Nilsen G
4 B. Utvik D
31 A. Skipper D
7 O. Halvorsen D
18 S. Martinsson-Ngouali M
17 J. Soltvedt D
20 A. Salétros M
25 M. Maigaard M
11 J. Lindseth M
41 T. Heintz M
15 S. Skålevik F
Bench (9)
8 G. Molins
5 M. Ødegaard
22 K. Opseth
10 R. Muhammed
14 A. Camara
6 M. Høyland
19 L. Mendy
3 J. Horn
40 L. Øy

Coach: S. Billborn

Molde

3-5-2
1 J. Karlstrøm G
21 M. Linnes M
28 K. Haugen M
2 M. Bjørnbak D
4 B. Hansen D
3 B. Risa D
7 M. Eikrem F
22 M. Grødem M
25 E. Breivik M
8 S. Mannsverk M
17 R. Zekhnini F
Bench (7)
9 D. Fofana
14 E. Knudtzon
24 J. Bakke
33 N. Ødegård
58 A. Børset
31 M. Løvik
34 P. Hoel

Coach: E. Moe

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

C Moen · 78 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
18,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.