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Ligue 1

Referee: F Letexier

Nice

U U T T S

0–3

Full-time

Marseille

T S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nice Marseille

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,3

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,2

3,2

Scored

1,2

2,3

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,5

This season — Ligue 1 · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

0,7

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

67%

Both score Ø 84%

67%

100%

Average goals

1,7

3,3

Scored

0,7

2,3

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

49% Possession 51%

16 Shots 13

2 Shots on target 4

8 Blocked shots 5

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 5

1 Offside 0

7 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nice 15. · Marseille 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lens	4	3	1	0	+5	10
2	Paris SG	3	3	0	0	+14	9
3	Marseille	3	2	1	0	+4	7
4	Lille	4	2	1	1	-1	7
5	Auxerre	4	2	1	1	-1	7
6	Lyon	2	2	0	0	+4	6
7	Clermont	3	2	0	1	-2	6
8	Toulouse	4	1	2	1	+1	5
9	Nantes	4	1	2	1	+1	5
10	Brest	3	1	1	1	+1	4
11	Lorient	2	1	1	0	+1	4
12	Rennes	4	1	1	2	-1	4
13	Monaco	3	1	1	1	-2	4
14	Montpellier	3	1	0	2	-3	3
15	Nice	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Angers	3	0	2	1	-2	2
17	Strasbourg	4	0	2	2	-2	2
18	Ajaccio	4	0	1	3	-4	1
19	Reims	3	0	1	2	-5	1
20	Troyes	3	0	0	3	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lyon	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Marseille	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Lens	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Nantes	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Auxerre	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Montpellier	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Rennes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Lille	2	1	0	1	-3	3
10	Clermont	2	1	0	1	-4	3
11	Toulouse	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Brest	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Nice	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Strasbourg	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Angers	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Ajaccio	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Monaco	2	0	1	1	-3	1
18	Reims	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Troyes	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	2	2	0	0	+11	6
2	Lens	2	1	1	0	+3	4
3	Lille	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Lorient	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Clermont	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Brest	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Toulouse	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Auxerre	2	1	0	1	-2	3
10	Angers	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Marseille	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Rennes	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Nantes	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Nice	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Strasbourg	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Reims	2	0	1	1	-3	1
17	Ajaccio	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Montpellier	1	0	0	1	-3	0
19	Troyes	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.